How did RPM's Q3 forecast compare to past trends?


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RPM's Q3 forecast shows a potential decline compared to past trends. Here's an analysis based on the available data:
- Recent Performance: RPM International's net income has shown fluctuations over the past year. The net income for the most recent quarter ending on Q2 2025, is $180.84 million1. This is a notable increase from the previous quarter's net income of $61.48 million, which suggests a strong recovery or improvement in the company's performance1.
RPM Net Income YoY, Net Income
- Analyst Expectations: Analysts have lowered their Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for RPM International. This indicates a potential decline in earnings compared to the previous quarter's estimates23. Additionally, the expected EPS of $1.76 for the upcoming report represents a year-over-year increase of 7.3%, which suggests a modest growth but not a strong rebound4.
- Revenue Expectations: Despite the expected earnings growth, revenues are anticipated to remain stable or slightly increase, with a forecast of $2.02 billion, up 0.3% from the year-earlier quarter4. This suggests that any growth in earnings may not be accompanied by a significant increase in sales.
- Comparing Trends: RPM's net income trend over the past year shows a significant increase in Q3 2024 compared to the previous quarter, which was a low point at $61.48 million1. The current forecast does not reflect the same level of growth as seen in Q3 2024, indicating a potential slowdown in the company's earnings trajectory.
In conclusion, while RPM has shown a strong recovery in net income from its previous low point, the Q3 2025 forecast indicates a potential decline in earnings compared to the recent past, and analysts' expectations suggest a more modest growth trajectory.
Source:
1.
RPM Quarterly Net Income in the past year
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