How reliable are USB's earnings forecasts based on past accuracy?

U.S. Bancorp (USB) has shown a general upward trend in earnings accuracy over the past three years, with an increasing EPS surprise of $0.03 in 2022Q4, $0.02 in 2024Q4, and $0.01 in 2023Q4. This indicates that the bank's earnings forecasts have become more reliable over time, with the latest quarter's earnings report being the most accurate thus far.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Estimate EPS YoY|Estimate Revenue YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20220331|-2.0833333333333353|0.3616636528028933|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20220630|-5.263157894736828|4.6263345195729535|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20220930|0.8620689655172422|8.145580589254767|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20221231|6.363636363636349|15.478260869565217|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20230331|19.148936170212785|28.28828828828829|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20230630|3.703703703703707|21.598639455782312|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20230930|-11.111111111111102|12.339743589743591|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20231231|-16.23931623931624|3.2379518072289155|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20240331|-21.428571428571434|-5.758426966292135|169|
|USB|USB.N|U.S. Bancorp|20240630|-15.178571428571441|-4.755244755244755|169|