How reliable are USB's earnings forecasts based on past accuracy?

U.S. Bancorp (USB) has shown a general upward trend in earnings accuracy over the past three years, with an increasing EPS surprise of $0.03 in 2022Q4, $0.02 in 2024Q4, and $0.01 in 2023Q4. This indicates that the bank's earnings forecasts have become more reliable over time, with the latest quarter's earnings report being the most accurate thus far.