How reliable are IVZ's earnings forecasts?

**Invesco's (IVZ) earnings forecasts for fiscal 2025Q1 are relatively reliable**, as evidenced by the following points:

1. **Recent Performance**: IVZ's latest report period is for Q4 2024, with the company's earnings estimate for Q1 2025 set at $0.4 per share and $1.11 billion in revenue. This information is based on the most recent data available, ensuring that the forecast is grounded in current conditions.

2. **Analyst Expectations**: Wall Street analysts are optimistic, projecting an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.51 for Q1 2025, reflecting an 8.5% year-over-year increase. This suggests that analysts are generally in line with the company's expected performance, adding credibility to the forecast.
3. **Historical Accuracy**: While there is no direct reference to IVZ's historical earnings accuracy, the fact that the company's Q4 2024 earnings exceeded estimates indicates a positive trend. This can be a good indicator of the company's potential to beat expectations in the upcoming quarter.
4. **Market Sentiment**: The absence of negative sentiment or warnings about potential earnings shortfalls suggests that the market is currently expecting IVZ to perform well in the upcoming quarter.

In conclusion, while it's important to consider that forecasts are inherently uncertain, the current estimates and analyst projections for IVZ's 2025Q1 earnings suggest a positive outlook. Investors should monitor the company's performance closely, especially given the recent decline in its stock price, which may influence how the market reacts to any earnings report.