How reliable are FBK's earnings forecasts?

**FB Financial's (FBK) earnings forecasts appear to be generally reliable**, as evidenced by the following points:

1. **Consistent Earnings Performance**: FBK has consistently exceeded earnings expectations in recent quarters. For instance, in Q3, FBK reported earnings of $0.86 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.82 per share. This trend of outperformance suggests a strong and reliable earnings trajectory.
2. **Analyst Confidence**: Analysts have shown confidence in FBK's performance, with estimates for Q4 indicating a expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84, which is in line with the actual earnings figure of $0.85 reported. This close alignment between estimates and actual results underscores the reliability of analyst projections.
3. **Stable Revenue Growth**: FBK's revenue growth has been stable and consistent, with a projected revenue of $131.14 million for Q4, which is in line with the company's historical performance. The lack of significant deviations between estimated and actual revenues indicates reliability in the company's financial projections.
4. **Historical Accuracy**: FBK's earnings beats can be attributed to the company's strong financial performance and prudent management decisions. The fact that FBK has beaten earnings estimates in multiple quarters suggests that these forecasts are based on solid financial data and not mere speculation.
5. **Market Expectations**: The market's expectations, as reflected in the stock price, are often a good indicator of a company's future performance. FBK's stock performance and the confidence of major shareholders, as indicated by recent acquisitions by major shareholders, suggest that market analysts are optimistic about the company's future earnings potential.

In conclusion, FBK's earnings forecasts can be considered reliable due to the company's consistent earnings outperformance, analyst confidence, stable revenue growth, historical accuracy, and positive market expectations.