Predict the stock price of Nvidia tomorrow?
7/24/2025 12:06am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting Nvidia's stock price tomorrow. First, I need to check the available data from the references provided. The user is asking for a prediction, so I should look for any relevant price forecasts or recent news that might impact the stock price.
Looking at the references, there's a specific query result for NVDA's earnings release date (Reference 1), which is set for August 27, 2025. That's a bit far from tomorrow, so maybe not directly relevant. However, the trend similarity-based price forecast (Reference 2) includes data up to August 15, 2025. The forecast for July 24, 2025, shows a mean price of $166.23 with a 34% confidence interval between $162.95 and $169.51. The 68% CI is wider, from $159.66 to $169.51. The trend forecast is bullish with an expected max gain of 15.37% and max loss of -16.53%.
Also, the latest closing price as of July 23, 2025, is $170.78 (Reference 11). The forecast for July 24 is $166.23, which is lower than the closing price. But wait, the user is asking for tomorrow's price, which would be July 24, 2025. The forecast for that day is $166.23, but the actual closing price on July 23 is $170.78. That suggests a potential drop, but I need to consider other factors.
Recent news mentions that Nvidia resumed H20 chip sales to China (References 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10). This could be a positive catalyst. Analysts have a consensus "Outperform" rating with a target price around $182.53 (Reference 4). GuruFocus estimates a GF Value of $280.31, implying a 63.57% upside from the current price (Reference 4). However, the stock price surged after the announcement, reaching $171.49 (Reference 6).
There's also news about the CEO selling shares (References 8, 28, 29, 30). Jensen Huang sold $12.94 million worth of shares, which might raise concerns about insider confidence. However, this was part of a prearranged plan, so it might not indicate a lack of confidence.
The sentiment score from AltIndex is 75/100, which is positive (Reference 3). The stock price has a monthly percentage change of 8.1% (Reference 27), indicating recent strength.
Putting this together, the forecast for July 24 is $166.23, but the actual closing price on July 23 was higher at $170.78. The forecast might be based on historical trends or algorithmic models, but recent positive news could influence the price upwards. However, the forecast suggests a slight drop from the closing price.
I should also consider the market reaction to the earnings release date. Since the earnings are in August, there might be some anticipation building up, but it's too far for immediate impact. The resumption of H20 sales is a more immediate factor.
The user's question is about tomorrow's price, so the forecast from Reference 2 for July 24 is the most direct data point. However, the actual price might be influenced by the resumption of sales and the CEO's share sales. The forecast shows a mean price lower than the closing price, but the market might react positively to the H20 news, leading to a higher price.
I need to present both the forecast data and the context of recent events. The conclusion should be that the forecast predicts a slight drop, but positive news could counteract that. The analysis should include the forecast table, the recent news, and the sentiment data. Also, the visualization for the forecast query needs to be included as per the requirements.
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### 🌟 **Conclusion**
Based on the latest data and market dynamics, **Nvidia (NVDA)** is projected to experience **moderate volatility** tomorrow (July 24, 2025), with a **bullish bias** driven by resumption of H20 chip sales to China and strong AI demand. However, near-term price action may face headwinds from **insider selling** and **earnings anticipation**.
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### 📊 **Price Forecast & Key Data**
#### **Tomorrow’s Price Projection**
| Metric | Value (July 24, 2025) |
|----------------------------|-------------------------|
| **Forecast Price (Mean)** | **$166.23** |
| **34% CI (Confidence Interval)** | **$162.95 – $169.51** |
| **68% CI (Confidence Interval)** | **$159.66 – $169.51** |
| **Trend Forecast** | **Bullish** |
| **Expected Max Gain** | **+15.37%** |
| **Expected Max Loss** | **-16.53%** |
#### **Recent Market Context**
- **Closing Price (July 23, 2025)**: **$170.78**
- **Monthly Price Change (July 2025)**: **+8.1%**
- **Sentiment Score**: **75/100 (Positive)**
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### 📈 **Key Drivers**
#### 1. **Resumption of H20 Chip Sales to China**
- Nvidia has secured U.S. export licenses to resume sales of its **H20 AI chips** in China .
- Analysts project **$8 billion+ in quarterly revenue upside** .
- **GuruFocus GF Value**: **$280.31** (63.57% upside from current price) .
#### 2. **Insider Activity**
- **CEO Jensen Huang** sold **$12.94 million** in shares (75,000 shares) .
- This is part of a **prearranged trading plan** and reflects **strategic profit-taking** amid high valuation .
#### 3. **Earnings Anticipation**
- **Earnings Release Date**: **August 27, 2025** .
- Analysts expect **“Outperform” ratings** with a **$182.53 average target price** .
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### 📉 **Risks to Monitor**
1. **Regulatory Uncertainty**: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions could impact H20 chip sales .
2. **Competition**: **AMD** and **Micron** are positioning to capitalize on AI chip demand .
3. **Valuation Pressure**: NVDA’s market cap exceeds **$4 trillion**, making it highly sensitive to macroeconomic shifts .
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### 🎯 **Final Outlook**
**Nvidia (NVDA)** is likely to **trade sideways to slightly higher** tomorrow, with a **target range of $165 – $170**. The **bullish trend** from AI demand and China sales resumption could offset near-term volatility from insider selling and earnings anticipation.