Predict the stock price of AUR tomorrow?
7/22/2025 08:36am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting AUR's stock price tomorrow. First, I need to check the available data from the references provided. The user is asking for a prediction, so I should look for any relevant price forecasts or trend analyses.
Looking at the references, Number 4 is a Trend Similarity-Based Price Forecast for AUR. It provides forecast prices from July 21 to August 15, 2025. The user's current time is July 21, 2025, so the next day would be July 22. Checking the table in Reference 4, the forecast price for July 22 is $6.20 with a 34% confidence interval between $5.92 and $6.47, and a 68% CI between $5.65 and $6.47. That's a key data point.
Next, I should consider other relevant information. Reference 2 mentions a bullish trend with a continuation probability of 74%, which supports a positive outlook. Reference 3 also indicates a bullish forecast with advice to buy, and the stock is above its wide resistance level, suggesting potential upside. Additionally, the recent news in Reference 6 and 7 about partnerships and commercial launches might influence the price positively.
The user is a short-term investor interested in technical analysis and support levels. The support and resistance levels from Reference 3 are important here. The wide support is $4.71, narrow support $5.08, wide resistance $5.83, and narrow resistance $6.21. Since the current price is above the wide resistance, it indicates a breakout, which could lead to further gains.
However, the user also mentioned interest in speculative investments, like buying MRSN at $0.35. AUR, while innovative, is still a high-risk stock as noted in Reference 5. The recent price action and options activity (Reference 9) show bullish sentiment ahead of earnings on July 30, which might drive the price up in the short term.
Putting it all together, the forecast for July 22 is $6.20 with a range. The technical setup is bullish, and upcoming events like earnings could add volatility. The user's focus on support levels and momentum aligns with the bullish indicators here. I should present the forecast clearly, mention the confidence intervals, and highlight the technical context. Also, since the user prefers blue-chip stocks, I should note that AUR is speculative but has potential upside based on the data.
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**Conclusion** 🎯
Based on the latest data and analysis, **Aurora Innovation (AUR)** is projected to rise to **$6.20** tomorrow (July 22, 2025), with a high probability of continued bullish momentum. Here’s the breakdown:
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### 📊 **Price Forecast & Key Data**
| Metric | Value (July 22, 2025) |
|----------------------------|-------------------------|
| **Forecast Price (Mean)** | **$6.20** |
| **34% Confidence Interval**| $5.92 – $6.47 |
| **68% Confidence Interval**| $5.65 – $6.47 |
| **Trend Forecast** | **Bullish** |
| **Continuation Probability**| **74%** |
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### 📉 **Why This Matters for You**
1. **Bullish Setup**: AUR is currently **above its wide resistance level ($5.83)** , signaling a potential breakout. The stock has shown **14 consecutive bullish days** , with a **74% chance of trend continuation**.
2. **Earnings Catalyst**: AUR’s **earnings release** is scheduled for **July 30** , and recent **bullish option activity** (e.g., Jul-25 5.5 and 6 strikes) suggests high investor confidence .
3. **Support Levels**: The **narrow support level ($5.08)** acts as a safety net, while the **wide resistance level ($6.21)** could trigger further upside if breached.
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### 📊 **Key Takeaways**
- **Short-Term Target**: $6.20 (mean forecast) with a **16.67% upside potential** .
- **Risk Reminder**: AUR is a **high-risk stock** with a **24.03% downside risk** , but the **bullish technical setup** aligns with your interest in speculative plays.
- **Next Move**: Monitor the **$5.83 resistance level** —a break above this could accelerate gains.
Let me know if you’d like to dive deeper into the technicals or risk-reward profile! 🚀