Predict the stock price of AMAT after 5 years? Based on its past return, revenue and earning and possibility to grow. Also take into account trade wars and all the global phonemes. When predicting can you also let me know what is the data you are taking into account ?

Predicting the stock price of AMAT after 5 years involves analyzing various factors that can impact its performance. Here's a breakdown of the data and considerations used in the prediction:

1. **Historical Performance**:
- **Net Income Growth Rate**: AMAT has shown a strong net income CAGR of 18.67% over the past 5 years.
- **Revenue Growth Rate**: The company has demonstrated a solid revenue CAGR of 12.11%.
- **Diluted EPS Growth Rate**: AMAT's diluted EPS has grown at a CAGR of 21.74%.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AMAT|AMAT.O|Applied Materials|2024 Q3|9.294871794871796|5.494163424124514|10.810810810810796|185|
|AMAT|AMAT.O|Applied Materials|2024 Q4|-13.622754491017963|4.789528484307601|-12.184873949579835|185|
|AMAT|AMAT.O|Applied Materials|2025 Q1|-41.3075780089153|6.843596242731474|-39.83402489626556|185|
|AMAT|AMAT.O|Applied Materials|2025 Q2|24.099883855981417|6.831176647607585|27.669902912621353|185|

2. **Analyst Expectations**:
- **Analyst Average Price Target**: The average price target for AMAT is $196.41, suggesting a potential upside from the current price.
- **Morgan Stanley's Hold Rating**: Morgan Stanley's cautious stance indicates a more conservative growth outlook.
- **Goldman Sachs' Buy Rating**: Goldman Sachs' positive outlook highlights the potential for growth driven by the semiconductor industry's shift towards 3D architectures.
3. **Global Trends and Challenges**:
- **Semiconductor Market Growth**: The global semiconductor market is projected to grow significantly, which could benefit AMAT's performance.
- **Copper Shortages**: Potential copper supply disruptions could impact semiconductor production, potentially affecting AMAT's operations.
- **Trade Wars**: Ongoing trade tensions, especially between the U.S. and China, could introduce volatility and affect the company's supply chain and market position.
- **AI-Driven Demand**: The increasing adoption of AI technology is expected to drive demand for advanced semiconductor chips, which could benefit AMAT's product portfolio.
4. **Strategic Positioning**:
- **Investment in Advanced Manufacturing**: TSMC's global expansion plans could increase demand for AMAT's equipment as it scales up production for advanced nodes.
- **Diversification and Innovation**: AMAT's focus on AI-driven semiconductor innovation and energy-efficient computing is likely to position it well for future growth.
5. **Financial Health and Valuation**:
- **Recent Performance**: AMAT's stock has outperformed the sector in the recent month, indicating strong investor confidence.
- **Valuation Metrics**: The company's forward P/E ratio is below the industry average, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Considering these factors, a conservative estimate for AMAT's stock price after 5 years could be around $250-$280, assuming the company continues to grow in line with the semiconductor industry and maintains its position as a key player in AI-driven chip development. However, given the potential risks from global events and the highly dynamic semiconductor market, the stock price could potentially reach higher levels if AMAT successfully navigates these challenges and capitalizes on the growing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies.

The data used in this prediction includes financial metrics such as net income, revenue, and diluted EPS growth rates, analyst ratings and price targets, global market trends affecting the semiconductor industry, and the company's strategic positioning and financial health.