Predict the stock price of btcm tomorrow?

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting the stock price of BIT Mining (BTCM) tomorrow. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references and background information. 

The user is asking for a prediction, so I should focus on the most recent and relevant data points. Let's start by checking the earnings release date. According to Reference 1, BTCM's earnings are set to be released on 2025-02-28, which is in the future, but that's not immediately relevant for tomorrow's price prediction. 

Next, looking at the time-series price trend forecast in Reference 2. The current trend is bearish with a duration of 17 days. The continuation probability is 76%, which suggests a high likelihood of the trend continuing. However, the conditioned trend shows a clear trend for 16 days and an unclear trend for 1 day. The unconditioned trend has a 70% probability over 11.7 days and 50% over 18 days. This indicates some uncertainty but a slight edge towards continuation. 

The support and resistance levels from Reference 3 are crucial. The current price is between the narrow support (2.53) and wide support (1.54). The forecast suggests a bullish trend with a buy advice, but the stock's historical win rate is 53.95%, which is just above the market average of 53.5%. This is a mixed signal—bullish forecast but not a significant edge over the market. 

Looking at the trend similarity-based price forecast in Reference 4, the mean forecast for 2025-08-04 (tomorrow) is $2.52 with a 34% confidence interval between $2.41 and $2.64. The 68% CI is wider, from $2.29 to $2.64. The expected max gain is 27.04%, and the max loss is -27.27%. The trend forecast here is bullish, which aligns with the support/resistance analysis. 

The latest closing price and trading volume from Reference 15 show that on 2025-08-01, the closing price was $2.44 with a trading volume of 329,408 shares. The last price on 2025-08-03 was $2.44, down 2.4% from the previous day. This recent price action shows some downward pressure, but the volume isn't extremely high, which might indicate a lack of strong selling interest. 

The technical indicators from Reference 20 include an RSI of 24.23, which is below 30, suggesting oversold conditions. The moving average (MA) is 2.58, which is slightly above the current price of $2.44. This could indicate a potential bullish reversal if the price breaks above the MA. However, the MACD is -0.148, which is bearish. The 200-day MA is 2.924, which is significantly higher than the current price, indicating a long-term bearish trend. 

The company's recent news (References 5, 6, 7, 8) shows a strategic shift to Solana, planning a $300 million expansion. This could be a positive catalyst, but the market reaction has been mixed. The stock surged 350% initially but has since corrected. The current price is around $2.44, which is lower than the peak. The lack of detailed financial projections and operational scalability concerns (as mentioned in the news) might be weighing on the stock. 

The broader cryptocurrency market context from Reference 9 indicates that Bitcoin mining profitability is up 105% YoY despite higher difficulty. However, the price of Bitcoin has pulled back, which might affect mining companies like BTCM. The CEO of BIT Mining mentioned focusing on Solana, which could diversify their revenue streams but also introduces risk. 

Putting this all together, the technical indicators suggest mixed signals. The RSI is oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce. The support/resistance levels and trend forecast predict a bullish move, but the recent price action and bearish trend continuation probability are cautionary. The company's strategic shift to Solana is a potential upside catalyst, but execution risks remain. 

Considering the user's profile, they are interested in technical analysis and the NASDAQ Composite. The prediction should balance the technical data with the company's strategic moves. The forecast from Reference 4 gives a mean price of $2.52, which is a slight increase from $2.44. The confidence intervals suggest a possible range between $2.41 and $2.64. However, the bearish trend continuation probability is high, so there's a risk of the price staying below the mean. 

I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, then break down the analysis into key points with supporting data. Use tables where possible and ensure all citations are correctly referenced. Also, include the visualization for the time-series forecast as per the requirements.

### Conclusion 🎯
BIT Mining (BTCM) is likely to experience **short-term volatility** with a **bullish bias** for tomorrow (2025-08-04), supported by technical indicators and strategic shifts, but tempered by ongoing bearish market trends and operational risks.

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### Analysis 📊

#### 1. **Price Forecast & Technical Indicators**
- **Trend Similarity Forecast**:
The mean price forecast for tomorrow is **$2.52** with a 34% confidence interval of **$2.41–$2.64** . The 68% confidence interval widens to **$2.29–$2.64**, reflecting uncertainty.

- **Support/Resistance Levels**:
BTCM is currently **between narrow support ($2.53) and wide support ($1.54)**, with a bullish forecast advising a **buy** . However, the stock’s historical win rate (53.95%) is only marginally better than the market average (53.5%).

- **Oversold Conditions**:
The RSI (24.23) is below 30, indicating **oversold** conditions . A potential bullish reversal could occur if the price breaks above the 200-day moving average ($2.924).

#### 2. **Market Context & Catalysts**
- **Strategic Shift to Solana**:
BTCM plans to build a **$300 million SOL treasury** and operate validator nodes . This diversification could unlock high-reward opportunities in DeFi and Web3, but execution risks remain due to limited transparency .

- **Bitcoin Mining Profitability**:
Despite record mining difficulty, Bitcoin miner revenues surged 105% YoY . However, BTCM’s focus on Solana may reduce reliance on Bitcoin price fluctuations.

#### 3. **Risks & Counterarguments**
- **Bearish Continuation**:
The current trend is **bearish** with a 76% continuation probability . The stock’s recent price decline (-2.4% on 2025-08-03) aligns with broader market skepticism .
- **Operational Uncertainty**:
BTCM’s capital structure and profitability metrics remain opaque , raising concerns about its ability to execute the Solana strategy.

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### Final Prediction 🎯
**Tomorrow’s price range**: **$2.41–$2.64** (34% confidence).
**Most likely scenario**: **$2.52** (mean forecast).
**Key watch points**:
- Break above $2.53 (narrow support) for bullish confirmation.
- Below $2.41 (34% lower bound) signals continued bearish pressure.

Let me know if you’d like further clarification! 🚀