How did PGR's Q1 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?

**Progressive's Q1 2025 EPS forecast is in line with past trends**, considering the following points:

1. **Consistency with Long-Term Growth Rate**: The EPS forecast for Q1 2025 at $3.98 reflects a consistent growth trajectory, aligning with the long-term earnings growth rate of 22.5%. This indicates a strong and stable financial performance, which is a positive signal for investors.
2. **Recent Upward Revision**: The fact that William Blair and Roth Capital have recently revised their EPS estimates upwards for Q1 2025 suggests a positive outlook on Progressive's performance. This is a strong indicator that the company's financial performance is expected to continue on an upward trend.
3. **Morgan Stanley's Confidence**: Morgan Stanley's decision to raise its EPS estimate and reiterate its "Overweight" rating further supports the notion that Progressive's Q1 2025 EPS is expected to perform well. This confidence is likely based on factors such as a stronger underwriting environment and improving margins.
4. **Historical Performance**: Progressive has a history of strong financial performance, with earnings that have exceeded estimates in the past. This track record suggests that the company's management is effective at generating profits, which is a positive indicator for future earnings.

In conclusion, Progressive's Q1 2025 EPS forecast is not only in line with its historical growth rate but also reflects a company that is expected to continue its trend of strong financial performance. The recent revisions by analysts and Morgan Stanley's bullish stance on the stock further reinforce this positive outlook.