Pbr stock price prediction
7/3/2025 10:38am
**Petrobras (PBR)** stock price is predicted to trend **downward** in the near term, with a **bullish outlook** for the medium to long term, driven by a combination of **favorable fundamentals** and **challenging sector dynamics**. Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Current Trend and Forecast**:
- The stock is currently in a **bullish trend**, lasting for 20 days, with a continuation probability of 32%.
- The forecast for PBR's stock price trend over the next days is **bearish**, with an expected maximum gain of -7.37% and a maximum loss of 16.18%.
2. **Support and Resistance Levels**:
- PBR's **support level** is wide at $12.11 and narrow at $12.28, while the **resistance level** is wide at $12.46 and narrow at $12.83.
- The stock is currently positioned between narrow resistance and wide support levels, indicating a potential for price movement but with limited upward space.
3. **Analyst Forecasts and Market Sentiment**:
- Despite the bullish trend, the forecast from analysts suggests a **sell** rating, with a historical win rate of 53.95% for this type of forecast.
- The average analyst price target for PBR is $14.81, suggesting a potential upside from the current price, but this does not immediately indicate a strong near-term upward momentum.
4. **Technical Indicators**:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not available, but the absence of a clear trend in the RSI values (unclear trend days = 11, clear trend days = 9) suggests a period of consolidation rather than a strong trend momentum.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is not available, but the absence of this indicator does not preclude a trend analysis based on other indicators.
5. **Market Dynamics and Fundamentals**:
- Petrobras has recently supported Brazil's move to boost biofuel mix, which could curatively increase its stock price by up to 20.69%.
- The company has also secured new exploration rights in Brazil, which could potentially uplift the stock price by 12.31%.
- However, the oil and gas sector faces challenges, including declining oil prices and geopolitical uncertainties, which could pressure the stock price.
6. **Short-Term Forecast**:
- The short-term forecast for PBR's stock price is **bearish**, with a predicted price range that could dip to $12.13 and peak at $12.85.
- The stock's recent performance has been mixed, with a recent decline of -2.83%, which could indicate a short-term correction or a response to broader market movements.
In conclusion, while Petrobras has strong long-term fundamentals and strategic initiatives, the short-term stock price prediction is **bearish** due to technical indicators and current market dynamics. Investors should monitor the stock's movement closely, especially in light of the upcoming earnings report and any developments in the oil and gas sector.