To analyze the global information about the Asian market trend and predict whether it will go up or down in the next 40 minutes from the current position, we can look at the following indicators:
- Current Market Sentiment: The Asian market is currently trading mostly higher, with Chinese and Hong Kong markets leading the surge on hopes of policy stimulus announcements12. This positive sentiment could continue in the short term.
- Federal Reserve Interest Rates: The anticipation of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Fed has supported the strengthening of Antipodean currencies and contributed to the positive market sentiment in Asia3. If the Fed's rate cut is confirmed, it could positively influence the Asian market.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating tensions in the Middle East, such as the Iran-Israel conflict, can lead to volatility in the Asian market45. The market may experience fluctuations due to these geopolitical risks.
- Economic Data: Upbeat U.S. jobs data and a stronger-than-expected increase in U.S. consumer prices have broadly negative cues from Wall Street overnight6. However, the bigger-than-expected increase in U.S. consumer prices has also offset optimism about the U.S. Fed's interest rate decisions1.
- Market Expectations: Traders are now awaiting key U.S. consumer price and producer price inflation readings for further cues6. Positive inflation data could support the market, while higher inflation could lead to rate cut speculation and market volatility.
In conclusion, while the Asian market is currently experiencing positive sentiment, the global information suggests that the market may face fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and upcoming economic data. It is difficult to definitively predict an upward or downward trend within the next 40 minutes, but investors should remain cautious and informed about these factors.