Netflix earnings will stock go up?
7/18/2025 04:12am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about Netflix's earnings and whether the stock will go up. The user is asking if the stock price will increase after the earnings release. First, I need to check the references provided to gather the latest data.
Looking at the references, the earnings release date is July 17, 2025, which is today. The user is asking right now, so the earnings have just been released. Let me check the results.
From reference 4, Netflix reported EPS of $7.19, which beat the consensus estimate of $7.08. Revenue was $11.08 billion, slightly above the $11.07 billion estimate. They also raised their full-year revenue guidance to $44.8-45.2 billion from $43.5-44.5 billion. That's a positive sign.
Reference 5 mentions that the stock closed at $1,275.62, up 0% in the last 3 months but up 98.37% in the last year. The stock had a strong run, but the immediate reaction after earnings might be mixed.
Analysts' reactions are mixed. Some, like Wedbush (reference 6), expected a modest beat and an upgrade in guidance. Others, like Pivotal Research (reference 21), raised price targets to $1,600, which is a significant upside. However, the stock's forward P/E is high at 52.25, which might concern some investors.
The user is interested in short-term trends and price targets. The consensus price target from analysts is around $1,330 (reference 30), implying about 6% upside from the current price. However, some analysts like Wells Fargo and Pivotal have higher targets.
The stock's technical indicators (reference 18) show it's near all-time highs but with some bearish signals like RSI near neutral. The MACD is bullish, but the stock is trading below its 8-day SMA. This could mean a potential pullback or consolidation after the earnings beat.
The user's profile mentions a focus on short-term trends and tech stocks with moderate risk tolerance. They might be looking for a buy, hold, or sell recommendation based on recent data. The earnings beat and guidance upgrade are positive, but the high valuation and technical resistance could temper the upside.
I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion, then break down the analysis into key points: earnings results, guidance, analyst sentiment, technicals, and the user's context. Use tables where possible and include the visualization as per the query. Make sure to cite the references correctly and keep the language engaging with emojis.
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**Conclusion** 🎯
Netflix (NFLX) stock is likely to experience short-term volatility following its Q2 2025 earnings release, but the outlook remains bullish due to **strong financial results**, **upgraded guidance**, and **positive analyst sentiment**. The stock could see a **bullish breakout** if it clears key technical resistance levels, but risks include **high valuation** and **competition** in the streaming sector.
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### 📊 **Key Analysis**
#### 1. **Earnings Results**
Netflix reported **Q2 2025 EPS of $7.19** (beat by $0.12) and **revenue of $11.08B** (beat by $20M) . The company also raised its FY 2025 revenue guidance to **$44.8B–$45.2B** (up from $43.5B–$44.5B) . This reflects **robust ad revenue growth** (+100% YoY) and **subscriber resilience** despite price hikes .
| Metric | Actual (Q2 2025) | Estimate (Consensus) | Beat/Miss (%) |
|------------------------|---------------------|------------------------|----------------|
| EPS (GAAP) | $7.19 | $7.08 | +1.56% |
| Revenue | $11.08B | $11.07B | +0.09% |
| FY 2025 Revenue Guidance | $44.8B–$45.2B | $44.5B | +0.7% |
#### 2. **Analyst Sentiment**
- **Price Targets**: Analysts project a **$1,330 average price target** (6% upside from $1,275.62) . Wells Fargo and Pivotal Research raised targets to **$1,500** and **$1,600**, respectively .
- **Ratings**: 13 "Buy" vs. 4 "Hold" ratings .
#### 3. **Technical Setup**
- **Bullish Signals**: Netflix closed near its **all-time high** ($1,275.62) . The **MACD** is bullish, and **RSI** is neutral (51.13) .
- **Bearish Risks**: The stock is trading **below its 8-day SMA** ($1,280) and faces **resistance at $1,300** .
| Metric | Current (2025-07-17) | Key Levels |
|------------------------|------------------------|-------------|
| Price | $1,275.62 | $1,300 (Resistance) |
| RSI | 51.13 | Neutral |
| MACD | Bullish | - |
#### 4. **Risks & Catalysts**
- **Risks**: High **forward P/E (52.25)** vs. industry average (14.71) .
- **Catalysts**: **Ad revenue growth** (targeting $3B in 2025) and **live content partnerships** (e.g., NASA, WWE) .
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### 🎯 **Final Take**
Netflix’s **Q2 beat** and **FY 2025 upgrade** position it as a **buy candidate** for short-term traders, but **caution** is advised due to **valuation risks**. The stock could **break out above $1,300** if technical resistance holds, but **pullbacks** are possible in the near term.