How did MTN's Q3 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?
4/6/2025 12:26am
**Vail Resorts' Q3 2025 EPS Forecast Compared to Past Trends**:
1. **Historical Performance**: Vail Resorts has a history of exceeding earnings expectations. For instance, in Q2 2025, the company's EPS of $6.56 surpassed the forecast of $6.30, marking a positive surprise of approximately 4.1%.
2. **Trend Analysis**: The company's EPS has shown a general upward trend over the past years. In Q2 2025, the EPS of $6.57 represents an increase from $5.76 in the same quarter of the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trajectory in earnings.
3. **Comparison with Estimates**: Analysts' estimates for Q3 2025 EPS have been slightly revised downward from $10.42 to $10.15 by Zacks Research. Despite this, the company's actual EPS in Q2 2025 exceeded estimates, indicating that the company's performance is often better than anticipated.
4. **Market Reaction and Valuation**: Despite the strong earnings performance, the stock experienced a dip during regular trading hours but recovered in after-hours trading. The company's P/E ratio stands at 24.8x, which suggests that while the stock may be valued较高by some metrics, it appears undervalued based on fair value calculations.
5. **Future Forecasts**: Looking ahead, revenue is forecasted to grow at an average annual rate of 3.9% over the next three years, which is lower than the 9.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in the US. This suggests that while the company has a solid foundation, it may face challenges in maintaining high growth rates in the future.
In conclusion, Vail Resorts' Q3 2025 EPS forecast is likely to be robust, considering the company's historical track record of exceeding expectations and the positive trends in its earnings. However, the slight revision in estimates by Zacks Research and the potential challenges in sustaining high growth rates should be monitored closely.