Is MDT's Q4 2025 earnings forecast achievable?

**Medtronic's Q4 2025 earnings forecast is achievable**, considering the company's historical performance and current market trends. Here's a detailed analysis to support this conclusion:

1. **Consistent Growth Trajectory**: Medtronic has demonstrated a consistent growth trajectory in its financial performance. In the latest reported quarter for Q3 2025, the company showed an increase in revenue and earnings. This consistency suggests a strong underlying business performance that supports the achievability of the Q4 2025 earnings forecast.

2. **Earnings Projection Alignment**: The estimated EPS for Q4 2025 is $1.58, which represents an 8.22% increase from the same quarter last year. This projection is in line with the company's historical earnings trends and the expectations of analysts, as indicated by the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
3. **Revenue Projection Alignment**: The estimated revenue for Q4 2025 is $8.82 billion, indicating a 2.57% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year. This growth rate is in line with the company's organic revenue growth guidance for FY25, which ranges from 4.75% to 5%.
4. **Market Performance and Analyst Confidence**: Despite some market fluctuations, Medtronic's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 in recent trading days. Additionally, the company's stock has seen a positive return over the past month, exceeding the Medical sector's loss and the S&P 500's loss. This positive market performance, coupled with the fact that the Zacks Consensus Estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggests analyst confidence in the company's ability to meet its earnings forecast.
5. **Strategic Position and Growth Areas**: Medtronic's focus on innovation in areas such as Pulsed Field Ablation, Pacing, Structural Heart, Diabetes, and Neuromodulation positions the company well for continued growth. The company's financial results for previous quarters indicate a strong earnings power and durable revenue growth, which supports the achievability of the Q4 2025 earnings forecast.

In conclusion, Medtronic's Q4 2025 earnings forecast is achievable based on the company's historical performance, current market trends, and analyst expectations. The company's strategic focus on innovation and strong earnings power position it well to meet and potentially exceed market expectations.