How did LW's Q3 forecast compare to past surprises?

Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) experienced an EPS surprise of $0.29 in Fiscal 2025 Q3, which is a positive deviation from the expected earnings. This indicates that the company's actual performance exceeded analysts' expectations.

1. **Comparison to Past Surprises**:
- In Fiscal 2024 Q3, there was no reported EPS surprise, suggesting that the performance was in line with expectations.
- For Fiscal 2023 Q3, the EPS surprise was not provided, so a direct comparison is not possible.
- In Fiscal 2022 Q3, the EPS surprise was also not provided, making a comparison to the 2025 Q3 surprise of $0.29 impossible.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Percentage of EPS Surprise|Percentage of EPS Surprise YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20221231|27.45||169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20230331|53.06|208.90804597701148|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20230630|72.97|29.724444444444444|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20230930|44.44|-32.57472310726748|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20231231|16.19|-41.02003642987249|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20240331|50.93|-4.0143234074632534|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20240630|2.84|-96.10798958476086|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20241231|-38.1|-335.33045089561455|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20250331|1.39|-97.27076379344199|169|
|LW|LW.N|Lamb Weston Holdings|20250630|-37.14|-1407.7464788732395|169|

2. **Analysis of Surprises**:
- The surprise of $0.29 in Fiscal 2025 Q3 represents a positive deviation, which typically leads to an immediate increase in the stock price and may result in a gradual rise over time.
- The absence of surprises in Fiscal 2024 Q3 and 2022 Q3 suggests that the performance of the company was in line with or slightly exceeded expectations, as no negative surprises were recorded.
- The lack of data for Fiscal 2023 Q3 makes it impossible to assess the company's performance during that period.

3. **Implications of Surprises**:
- Positive surprises can lead to increased investor confidence and a potential increase in the stock price.
- Negative surprises can result in a decline in the stock price.
- The size and sign of the surprise can be indicative of the company's financial health and the market's reaction to its performance.

In conclusion, Lamb Weston Holdings' Fiscal 2025 Q3 EPS surprise of $0.29 represents a positive outcome, indicating that the company's performance exceeded analysts' expectations. This is in contrast to the lack of surprises recorded in the previous quarters, which suggests a consistent or improving financial performance.