Is LNTH's Q1 2025 forecast achievable?

**Lantheus Holdings' (LNTH) Q1 2025 revenue forecast is achievable**, considering the company's historical performance and strategic positioning. Here's a detailed analysis to support this conclusion:

1. **Consistent Growth Trajectory**: LNTH has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory in recent years. For instance, in Q4 2024, the company's revenue exceeded expectations, with a 10.5% year-over-year increase, reaching $391.11 million.
2. **Positive Outlook and Strategic Moves**: The company's positive outlook for 2025 is bolstered by strategic acquisitions and partnerships. These moves are expected to enhance Lantheus' manufacturing and R&D capabilities, further solidifying its position as a leader in radiopharmaceuticals.
3. **Achievement Rate Calculation**: To assess the achievability of the forecast, we calculated the achievement rate for both the low and high forecasted revenues for Q1 2025. The achievement rate for the low forecast ($1.545 billion) is 25.31%, and for the high forecast ($1.61 billion), it is 24.29%. While these rates suggest that the low forecast is more comfortably within reach, the high forecast is also plausible, given the company's growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Net Income|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|LNTH|LNTH.O|Lantheus Holdings|2024 Q1|3.69975E8|1.31066E8|1.87|185|
|LNTH|LNTH.O|Lantheus Holdings|2024 Q2|3.94091E8|6.2073E7|0.88|185|
|LNTH|LNTH.O|Lantheus Holdings|2024 Q3|3.78734E8|1.31093E8|1.79|185|
|LNTH|LNTH.O|Lantheus Holdings|2024 Q4|3.9111E8|-1.179E7||185|

4. **Analyst Confidence**: Analysts have a positive outlook on Lantheus, with shares climbing on the back of strong Q1 and FY outlook raises. This confidence is supported by the company's track record of surpassing expectations, as evidenced by its Q4 2024 performance.
5. **Financial Performance Metrics**: Lantheus' financial performance metrics, such as revenue growth and earnings, have been robust. For example, in Q4 2024, the company reported a 10.5% increase in revenue and a significant recovery in net income compared to the previous year.

In conclusion, while there are no guarantees, the achievability of LNTH's Q1 2025 revenue forecast is supported by the company's historical performance, positive outlook, strategic initiatives, and analyst confidence.