What are the key risks for UNP's revenue in 2024?
4/1/2025 12:24am
**Union Pacific's (UNP) revenue in 2024 was $24.25 billion, with a growth rate of 0.01%.** Here are the key risks that impacted its revenue:
1. **Challenges in the Coal Segment**: There was a 4% decrease in volume due to high inventory levels and competition from low natural gas prices. This indicates a risk related to market dynamics and competitive pressures within the coal segment.
2. **Freight Revenue Fluctuations**: While freight revenue was flat at $5.8 billion, with strong core pricing gains, there was an unfavorable business mix that partially offset these gains. This suggests a risk related to the balance between pricing and business mix in generating revenue.
3. **Volume Growth and Business Mix**: Although there was strong volume growth, particularly in international intermodal and grain markets, this was not enough to offset the negative impact of a 1% decrease in operating revenue compared to 2023. This indicates a risk related to the ability to convert volume growth into revenue growth due to business mix factors.
4. **Economic Conditions**: The anticipation of a soft economic environment in 2025, coupled with the challenges of navigating economic and regulatory factors, suggests that UNP faced risks related to macroeconomic conditions and regulatory environments that could affect its revenue.
In summary, Union Pacific's revenue in 2024 was subject to risks related to segment-specific challenges, pricing and business mix, volume growth, and broader economic conditions.