The choice of discount rate in a DCF analysis is not always prescriptive and can vary based on the context and the analyst's judgment. However, the Cost of Equity (COE) is a common discount rate used in DCF analyses, especially when the focus is on the returns required by equity investors for a particular project or investment. The COE represents the market's expected return for taking on the risk of owning the asset.
- Intuitive Understanding: The COE reflects the risk and potential returns associated with an investment. A higher COE indicates higher risk and potentially higher returns1.
- Practical Application: In many cases, analysts use the COE as the discount rate because it directly relates to the expected returns required for an investment to be justified. If the DCF value calculated using the COE is higher than the initial investment cost, the opportunity is considered viable. Conversely, if the DCF value is lower, it may not be a good opportunity, necessitating further research and analysis2.
- Comparison with COC: While the Cost of Capital (COC) is another relevant measure, it is typically used when considering the overall cost of financing a project or investment that includes both debt and equity. The COE, on the other hand, is more focused on the equity component of the capital structure3.
- Industry Practices: In the tech sector, for instance, analysts might use higher discount rates, such as 15-20% for earlier stage startups, to account for the higher risk associated with these investments4.
In summary, the Cost of Equity (COE) is indeed commonly used as the discount rate in a DCF analysis, particularly when the focus is on equity-based returns and the risk associated with the investment. It is a key input in determining the present value of future cash flows and assessing the viability of an investment opportunity.