Is Romania to be attacked by Russia in the first wave of a conflict with NATO?

The information provided does not suggest that Romania is to be attacked by Russia in the first wave of a conflict with NATO. However, the situation is complex and subject to change. Here's an analysis:

1. **Romania's Military Presence in NATO Exercises**: Romania has been participating in NATO exercises, such as the Anaconda 23 exercise mentioned in the references, which indicates its commitment to the alliance and its readiness to defend against potential threats[^2][^4].
2. **NATO's Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine**: NATO has been providing unprecedented levels of support to Ukraine since the Russian invasion began in 2022[^3]. This support includes military training, intelligence sharing, and financial assistance. NATO's response to the ongoing war in Ukraine suggests that the alliance is actively preparing for potential conflicts with Russia.
3. **Russia's War Strategy in Ukraine**: Russia's war strategy in Ukraine has involved a combination of conventional military operations, cyberattacks, and hybrid warfare tactics[^2]. While these tactics have been employed in Ukraine, there is no specific indication that Romania is currently targeted for a similar attack.
4. **Germany's Military Planning Documents**: The German military planning documents leaked in January outlined a scenario where Russia could launch a massive 2024 offensive, potentially turning its sights on NATO members in Eastern Europe[^2]. However, there is no explicit mention of Romania in these documents.
5. **Poland's Security Agency Estimate**: Poland's national security agency estimated that Russia could attack NATO within three years[^2]. While this estimate is concerning, it does not specifically point to Romania as the target.
6. **Steadfast Defender Exercises**: The Steadfast Defender exercises, which are taking place near Russia's borders, are aimed at preparing NATO for a potential conflict with Russia[^4]. While these exercises are significant, they do not provide specific information about Romania's immediate threat level.
7. **Putin's Statements**: In a statement, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned the West about the risks of a direct conflict between Russia and NATO, stating that it would be one step away from World War Three[^5]. This statement suggests that Putin is aware of the potential consequences of escalating tensions with the West, including NATO.

In conclusion, while the situation is tense and there is a possibility of a wider conflict involving NATO, there is no specific indication that Romania is to be attacked by Russia in the first wave of a conflict. However, the situation can change rapidly, and it is essential for Romania and other NATO members to remain vigilant and adapt their defenses accordingly.