Is RIVN a good buy today


Aime
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) does not present a strong buying opportunity today based on the following analysis:
- Financial Performance: Rivian's net income is negative, with a net loss of $1.1 billion and a diluted EPS of -$1.08 for the quarter ending September 30, 2024. The company's revenue has also declined by 34.63% year-over-year1. These financial indicators suggest that Rivian is not currently profitable and is experiencing a decline in revenue.
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- Stock Price Movement: Rivian's closing price on November 20, 2024, was $10.05, which is below both its resistance level of $10.47 and its 50-day moving average of $10.8923. This could indicate a bearish trend in the stock's price.
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- Analyst Ratings: The consensus rating for Rivian is "Neutral" with an average price target of $15.04, which is a 55.92% increase from the current stock price45. This suggests that analysts believe the stock has potential for growth, but the neutral rating indicates uncertainty.
- Market Sentiment: Rivian's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a surge after announcing a joint venture with Volkswagen but subsequently dropping67. This volatility could be a sign of uncertainty among investors.
- Strategic Developments: The joint venture with Volkswagen is a positive development, as it could provide Rivian with the necessary resources and partnerships to improve its prospects. However, the long-term success of this partnership and Rivian's ability to execute on its plans remain uncertain78.
- Technical Indicators: Rivian's technical indicators are mixed. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, which could be seen as a bearish signal. However, the stock has recently crossed above its 200-day moving average, which could indicate a potential bottom fishing opportunity9.
- Debt and Cash Flow: Rivian has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93 and negative free cash flow of $2.51 billion10. These financial metrics suggest that the company is heavily leveraged and may face challenges in generating cash.
In conclusion, while there is potential for growth based on the joint venture with Volkswagen and the consensus price target, the current financial performance, stock price trends, and uncertainty surrounding Rivian's ability to execute on its plans suggest that it is not a strong buy today. Investors should exercise caution and consider the risks associated with the stock.
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RIVN Net Income Growth Rate, Revenue Growth Rate, Diluted EPS Growth Rate
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