Is PBR's Q4 2024 EPS decline a long-term concern?
4/12/2025 12:39am
**Petrobras' Q4 2024 EPS decline may not be a long-term concern.** Here's why:
1. **Strong Operational Performance**: Petrobras has achieved record production levels, reaching 3 billion barrels, and maintained a high operational utilization rate of 95%, indicating efficient operations.
2. **Financial Strength**: The company has shown strong financial performance with a recurring EBITDA of $11.6 billion, net income of $5.9 billion, and cash generation of $11.3 billion, a 24% increase quarter-on-quarter. Free cash flow stands at $6.9 billion, and the company has reduced its gross debt to $59.1 billion, with financial debt at $25.8 billion, the lowest since 2008.
3. **Dividend and Investment Commitment**: Petrobras has approved dividends and interest on capital totaling 17.1 billion reals and is committed to investing in growth opportunities, as seen in its $4.5 billion investment in Q3 2024, a 30% increase from the previous quarter. The company has also announced a five-year strategic plan with total investments of $111 billion through 2029.
4. **Strategic Initiatives**: Petrobras is actively pursuing strategic initiatives, such as forming a partnership with Vale to test low-carbon products and exploring a possible joint venture in the ethanol sector. These moves suggest a forward-looking approach to remain competitive.
5. **Market Position**: Despite the challenges, Petrobras has maintained its position in the global oil market, with significant contributions to Brazil's energy supply. The company's efforts to increase natural gas supply are expected to boost its market share further.
In conclusion, while a decline in EPS can be concerning in the short term, the overall financial health, operational efficiency, and strategic initiatives of Petrobras suggest that the Q4 2024 EPS decline may not be a long-term concern for the company.