Is NWS's Q3 2025 forecast too conservative?

NWS's Q3 2025 forecast does not appear to be overly conservative. Here's why:

1. Financial Projections: The estimated EPS for Q3 2025 is $0.22, which is a reasonable figure considering the company's historical performance and current market conditions. The estimated revenue for the same quarter is $2.06 billion, which is a substantial figure and suggests a strong revenue expectation.

2. Company Performance: News Corporation (NWS) has been performing well, with a recent boost in its Relative Strength (RS) Rating, which has improved from 70 to 75. This indicates a strengthening market leadership, which could be a result of the company's solid financials and market positioning.
3. Sector Comparison: When compared to the Communication Services sector, NWS's stock performance has been relatively stable. While it has not outperformed the sector significantly, it has not underperformed either, with a slight dip of 12.7% from its 52-week high but a 14.4% surge over the past 52 weeks. This suggests that NWS's conservative forecast might be in line with the sector's overall performance.
4. Historical Performance: NWS has shown resilience, with its stock trading above its 200-day moving average since last year. This indicates a stable long-term trend that supports the company's conservative forecast.

In conclusion, NWS's Q3 2025 forecast seems to be appropriately conservative, considering the company's historical performance, current market conditions, and sector comparisons. The forecast reflects a balanced view of the company's potential, which is not overly optimistic nor pessimistic.