Is now the time to invest in INNV?


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The decision to invest in INNV should be approached with caution. Here's why:
- Financial Performance and Growth Prospects:
- InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV) has shown revenue growth, with a 12.74% increase in revenue for the quarter ending December 31, 2024, amounting to $199.4 million1. However, the net income has improved significantly, with an 81.21% growth rate for the same period1.
- The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter beat expectations, with an EPS of $0.01, surpassing the consensus estimate of ($0.02)2. This indicates a positive trend in profitability.
- Looking at the longer-term, the 3-year revenue CAGR is 4.56%, the net income CAGR is 70.8%, and the diluted EPS CAGR is 78.89%3. These figures suggest a strong growth trajectory in the past few years.
- Technical Indicators:
- The stock's technical indicators provide mixed signals. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.06, indicating potential bearish momentum4. However, the RSI is 37.19, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold4, and the KDJ is 19.54, which could indicate a potential reversal or a buying opportunity4.
- The stock is currently trading below its 5-Day, 10-Day, and 20-Day moving averages5, which could be seen as a bearish signal. However, the 60-Day and 120-Day moving averages are above the current trading price, potentially offering a support level67.
- The P/E ratio is -23.94, which is negative and suggests that the company is not profitable as currently reported8. However, the Price-to-Book ratio is 2.87, and the Price-to-Sales ratio is 0.97, both of which are relatively low and could indicate a potential value investment8.
- Market Sentiment and Recent News:
- The company has announced an expansion of its share repurchase program, which could be seen as a positive sign for investors, indicating a potential strategic move to enhance shareholder value9.
- Despite the positive revenue growth, the company continues to face challenges, such as enrollment processing times and cost increases, which could impact future performance1011.
- Fund Flow:
- There has been a net fund outflow of $7,690.96 for the period ending October 8, 202412, which could indicate investor caution or a shift in investor sentiment.
- The net fund flow for block orders is $013, and for institutional orders is also -$7,690.9614, suggesting that both block and institutional investors are showing a net selling pressure.
In conclusion, while there are signs of growth and improvement in the company's financials, the negative P/E ratio and the recent outflow of funds from institutional and block orders may raise concerns. Investors should weigh these factors against their investment strategy and risk tolerance before making a decision. It is also advisable to keep an eye on the company's operational challenges and market conditions.
INNV Diluted EPS (FY)
Source:
1.
INNV Revenue Growth Rate, Net Income Growth Rate, Diluted EPS Growth Rate
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