MPLX's 2025 Q1 EPS forecast is not currently optimistic. Here's why:
- Analyst Downgrade: US Capital Advisors lowered their Q1 2025 earnings per share estimates for MPLX from $1.04 to $0.971. This indicates a more cautious outlook from analysts.
- Consensus Estimate: The consensus estimate for MPLX's current full-year earnings is $4.41 per share1. This suggests that the market is not currently expecting a particularly strong performance from MPLX in 2025 Q1.
- Recent Performance: MPLX reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.07 for the fourth quarter, which beat analyst estimates of $1.0323. This recent outperformance may lead to more conservative estimates for the upcoming quarter.
- Market Response: Following the earnings release, MPLX's stock price edged up, indicating a mildly positive market response3. However, this does not necessarily translate to an optimistic forecast for Q1 2025.
In conclusion, the current forecast for MPLX's 2025 Q1 EPS is more in line with a neutral to slightly conservative outlook, given the recent analyst downgrades and the consensus estimate.