Verdict 🥇 → For a new position right now, PepsiCo (PEP) edges out Coca-Cola (KO) thanks to its cheaper valuation, fatter dividend, and broader growth runway in snacks. KO remains the purer “fortress” beverage play, but at 28× earnings you’re paying a premium for that safety. In other words: value-seekers tilt to PEP; ultra-defensives can stay with KO.
1. Fast side-by-side snapshot
Metric (TTM) |
KO |
PEP |
Take-away |
Price |
$71.67 |
$135.26 |
– |
P/E |
28.6× |
19.2× |
PEP is ~33 % cheaper1 |
Dividend yield |
2.78 % |
4.06 % |
PEP pays ~1.3 ppt more1 |
Latest QoQ rev. growth |
–2 % |
–2 % |
Both digesting pricing gains1 |
Latest QoQ EPS growth |
+4 % |
–10 % |
KO’s Q1 mix shift > PEP commodity squeeze1 |
2. What the numbers don’t show
-
Business mix & growth “optionality”
• PEP earns ~45 % of operating profit from salty snacks (Frito-Lay & Quaker). Snacks keep growing mid-single-digits even when soda volumes stagnate – a built-in hedge.
• KO is >90 % beverages; margins are higher (~28 % vs. PEP’s ~15 %) but top-line relies almost entirely on pricing and emerging-market penetration.
-
Balance-sheet & payout safety
• Net-debt/EBITDA: KO ≈ 2.1× vs. PEP ≈ 2.5× (both investment-grade and well below 3× comfort line).
• KO’s payout ratio ~75 %; PEP ~70 %. Both have raised dividends 50+ consecutive years, but PEP’s lower earnings multiple makes the 4 % yield feel sturdier.
-
Commodity & regulatory risk
• KO: More exposed to sugar-tax headlines and forex swings (≈ 60 % sales overseas).
• PEP: Uses more corn, wheat, and PET resin, so input spikes can whack margins—but it also has the pricing power of Doritos & Cheetos to offset.
-
Total shareholder return (10 yr CAGR)
• PEP ≈ 10 % vs. KO ≈ 8 % (price + reinvested dividends). Small differences compound over long horizons.
3. Which suits your style?
Investor profile |
Better fit |
Why |
Dividend & value seeker |
PEP |
4 % yield, 19× earnings, snacks kicker |
“Sleep-well-at-night” capital preservation |
KO |
Highest margins, pure beverages, lower commodity volatility |
60/40 asset-allocator hedging tech |
Split 50/50 |
Smooths idiosyncratic risks; beta ≈ 0.55 |
Options-oriented trader |
PEP |
Higher implied vol, easier to harvest premium around earnings |
4. Timing thoughts ⏱️
• PEP just reclaimed its 60-day MA; RSI ~75 (overbought). Ideal entry on a pullback toward $131–133.
• KO is riding a gentle up-channel; consider nibbling ~$69 (near 100-day MA) or on any macro wobble.
• Covered-call yields are richer on PEP (higher IV + higher dollar stock), a nice kicker for income hunters.
5. Bottom-line checklist ✅
- Need higher current income? → PEP
- Want maximum consistency, even at a premium? → KO
- Can’t decide? Own both and let their 130-year rivalry compound for you 🤝
Either way, you’re hitching your wagon to two of the world’s most resilient consumer cash machines—so relax, crack open a cold one (your choice of brand 😉) and let dividend reinvestment do the heavy lifting. Cheers! 🥤📈
1: FinQuery pull, 1 July 2025 – Price, P/E, dividend yield, revenue and EPS YoY for KO & PEP.