Is it a good buy for xom today


Aime
Exxon Mobil (XOM) does not present a strong buy opportunity at the current time. Here's the analysis to support this conclusion:
- Recent Performance: Exxon Mobil's stock experienced a slight decline, with a percentage change of -0.47% on August 16, 2024, ending at $118.171. This indicates a recent trend of the stock price going down.
XOM Trend
- Fundamental Analysis:
- Earnings Report: Exxon Mobil's first-quarter adjusted earnings fell 27% from the prior year, and sales dropped 4%2. This indicates a decline in profitability and revenue compared to the previous period.
- Oil Price Sensitivity: The breakeven oil price for Exxon Mobil is well below current oil prices, and each dollar increase in oil price adds about $0.21 to its bottom line3. This suggests that the company's profitability is highly dependent on oil prices, which can be volatile.
- Market Position: Exxon Mobil is growing its business in Guyana with the Whiptail project, which is expected to add approximately 250,000 barrels of oil by the end of 20272. However, this growth may not be immediate and could be several years away from contributing significantly to the company's financials.
- Technical Analysis:
- Moving Averages: The stock is currently trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, which are $115.97, $114.95, and $113.52, respectively4. This typically indicates a buy signal as the stock is trending above these key moving averages.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is 54.20, which is considered neutral4. This does not provide a clear buy or sell signal.
- MACD: The MACD is 0.95, suggesting a sell signal4. This contradicts the buy signals from the moving averages.
- Market Sentiment:
- Analyst Ratings: The consensus rating is "Buy," with an average price target of $118.635. This suggests that analysts are generally positive on the stock.
- Institutional Activity: There has been slightly more institutional buying than selling over the last 13 weeks, with an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of C+2. This indicates some positive sentiment among institutions.
- Conclusion: Given the recent decline in earnings and the stock price, the lack of immediate growth prospects, and the mixed technical signals, Exxon Mobil does not appear to be an attractive buy at this moment. Investors should consider the high dependence on oil prices and the potential volatility in the company's financials. It may be prudent to wait for clearer signs of recovery or growth before considering a position in XOM.
Source:
1.
XOM Closing Price, Percentage Change
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