Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) is not an ideal candidate for a put option strategy at the moment, and here's why:
- Recent Option Activity: The put/call ratio for CLF is 0.68, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment among options traders. However, this ratio is not exceptionally high, nor is it indicative of a strong bearish consensus.
- Market Sentiment: The sentiment among large investors is split, with 50% bullish and 50% bearish. This suggests a lack of clear consensus and indicates that while some investors are bearish, others are not, which is reflected in the option market.
- Strike Price Considerations: Given the current stock price of $12.36 and the recent trading activity between $10.00 and $20.00, a strike price around $12.00 to $14.00 would be more appropriate for a put option. Striking too low may not provide adequate protection, while striking too high could result in assignment risk.
- Current Market Conditions: The stock is currently down 5.36% at $12.36, which could be seen as a potential entry point for a put option. However, the recent performance and the upcoming earnings release may introduce volatility that could work against the option buyer.
In conclusion, while there is some indication of bearish sentiment, the mixed sentiment among large investors and the lack of a strong put/call ratio suggest that the option market is not overwhelmingly bearish on CLF. Therefore, a put option strategy might not be the most effective approach at this time. Instead, consider other strategies or wait for a clearer indication of market sentiment before opting for a put strategy.