Is CAN still undervalued?
7/18/2025 02:19pm
**Canaan (CAN) appears to be undervalued based on several metrics and analyst opinions**, despite its challenges and volatility. Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Price Target and Analyst Ratings**:
- **Compass Point**: Set a Buy rating with a price target of $2.50, suggesting a potential upside from the current price.
- **B. Riley**: Maintained a Buy rating with a revised price target of $2.00, indicating confidence in Canaan's potential.
- **Rosenblatt Securities**: Also maintained a Buy rating with a raised price target of $8.00, reflecting optimism about Canaan's revenue outlook.
- **Northland Securities**: Initiated coverage with a Buy rating, showing confidence in Canaan's growth prospects.
2. **Stock Valuation Ratios**:
- **P/E Ratio**: CAN has a P/E ratio of 252,292.43, which is extremely high and may indicate overvaluation. However, this also suggests that the company's earnings are currently depressed, potentially due to one-time events or industry-specific challenges.
- **Price-to-Book Ratio**: The P/B ratio is -8.57, which is negative and suggests that the company is trading below its book value. This is a red flag and could indicate that the company has negative equity or that investors are discounting the company's assets.
- **Price-to-Sales Ratio**: The P/S ratio is 47.2, which is relatively high and could suggest that the company is overvalued based on its sales.
3. **Financial Performance and Prospects**:
- **Revenue Growth**: Canaan has seen a significant year-over-year increase in revenue, with a 136% increase in Q1 2025, exceeding previous guidance.
- **Mining Performance**: The company has had strong performance in its self-mining business, with a 39% increase in Bitcoin mined quarter over quarter.
- **Gross Margin**: Canaan maintained a solid mining gross margin of 31% in Q1, supported by competitive electricity costs.
4. **Challenges and Risks**:
- **Industry Volatility**: The global Bitcoin mining industry faces macroeconomic challenges, including tariffs and market fluctuations.
- **Financial Health Concerns**: Canaan has a negative EBITDA and faces challenges in managing debt.
5. **Market Sentiment and Price Target**:
- **Average Analyst Target**: The average one-year price target from analysts is $2.68, with a high estimate of $5.00, suggesting potential upside.
- **GF Value Estimate**: The estimated GF Value for Canaan in one year is $2.14, indicating a potential upside from the current price.
In conclusion, while Canaan faces significant challenges, including a high P/E ratio and negative EBITDA, the price target set by analysts and the company's strong revenue growth and mining performance suggest that it may still be undervalued. Investors should consider the high risk associated with the industry and the company's financial health before making investment decisions.