Is BBAI still undervalued?
7/22/2025 05:10pm
**BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) does not appear to be undervalued at this time.** Here's why:
1. **Valuation Ratios Suggest Otherwise**: The P/E ratio stands at -9.27, which is negative and suggests that the company is not profitable as currently reported. The P/S ratio is 13.48, and the Price-to-Book ratio is 10.89. These ratios, while not directly indicating overvaluation, do not necessarily point to undervaluation either, especially given the lack of a positive P/E ratio.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240722|-2.323688|2.5386897563919675|3.4023346592061356|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240723|-2.385653|2.6063881498957535|3.4930635834516326|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240724|-2.370162|2.5894635515198066|3.4703813523902585|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240725|-2.385653|2.6063881498957535|3.4930635834516326|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240726|-2.354671|2.5725389531438605|3.447699121328884|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240729|-2.199758|2.403292969384396|3.2208768107151418|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240730|-2.246232|2.4540667645122354|3.2889235038992646|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240731|-2.339179|2.555614354767914|3.42501689026751|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240801|-2.168776|2.3694437726325033|3.175512348592393|169|
|BBAI|BBAI.N|BigBear.ai Holdings|20240802|-2.103581|2.298217349253813|3.039418962224148|169|
2. **Recent Performance and Market Sentiment**:
- BigBear.ai Holdings has seen a significant surge in its stock price, with a 192% increase in the last quarter. This performance is bolstered by strategic deployments of its biometric software at international airports and partnerships that enhance AI solutions.
- Despite this growth, the stock is rated as "Significantly Overvalued" by GuruFocus, with an estimated GF Value of $1.16, which is significantly lower than the current trading price of $7.985. This indicates that while the stock has gained in price, it may not be reflecting fair value based on historical financials.
3. **Analyst Opinions and Future Prospects**:
- Analysts have set a one-year price target of $4.75, which suggests a potential downside from the current price. This target is below the current trading price, indicating that the stock may not be seen as undervalued by experts.
- The company's financials show challenges, including a projected decline in earnings per share and a negative EBITDA margin. These factors could imply that the high valuation is driven by speculative expectations rather than fundamental financial health.
4. **Market Dynamics and External Factors**:
- The stock's recent gains are partly attributed to the increased valuation of similar tech companies, such as Palantir. This suggests that BBAI's valuation may be influenced by broader market dynamics rather than unique company performance.
- The company's strategic expansions and contracts, such as with the Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Defense, are positive indicators for future revenue potential. However, these factors may already be priced in, as evidenced by the stock's significant price increase.
In conclusion, while BigBear.ai Holdings has shown strong speculative growth and strategic market positioning, the current valuation metrics and analyst opinions do not support the claim of the stock being undervalued. Investors should exercise caution, considering both the potential for further growth and the risks associated with the high valuation and challenging financials.