Is ACA's Q4 2024 EPS decline a long-term concern?
4/11/2025 12:43am
**Arcosa's Q4 2024 EPS decline may not be a long-term concern** for several reasons:
1. **Strategic Acquisitions and Organic Growth**: Despite the quarterly shortfall, Arcosa achieved record revenues for the full year 2024, supported by strategic acquisitions and organic growth projects. These initiatives are expected to bolster the company's performance in the long term.
2. **CEO's Confidence and Insider Trading Activity**: The recent purchase of Arcosa stock by CEO Antonio Carrillo and director Rhys J. Best indicates confidence in the company's future prospects. Insider buying often signals that management believes the stock is undervalued or that the current market conditions are temporary.
3. **Analyst Ratings and Price Targets**: Analysts have maintained positive ratings on Arcosa, with price targets ranging from $100 to $125, suggesting potential upside from the current trading price. This indicates that the EPS decline may be viewed as a temporary setback rather than a fundamental problem.
4. **Financial Health and Liquidity**: Arcosa's financial health remains strong, with a current ratio of 1.85 (or 3.6 as per another source), indicating excellent ability to meet short-term obligations. The company's free cash flow has also improved significantly, rising to $330 million from $94 million in 2023.
5. **Market Shifts and Volatility**: The stock's recent dip to a 52-week low amid market shifts is a broader market phenomenon rather than a company-specific issue. As such, it may not have long-term implications for Arcosa's earnings potential.
In conclusion, while the Q4 2024 EPS decline is certainly a concern, the overall trajectory of Arcosa, including its strategic initiatives, insider confidence, analyst ratings, and financial health indicators, suggest that this may not be a long-term concern. Investors should monitor the company's performance closely, especially in the context of market shifts and economic pressures.