Should investors worry about IBRX's recent EPS swings?
4/3/2025 06:15pm
**ImmunityBio's recent EPS swings may not be a cause for immediate concern for investors**. Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Contextualizing the EPS Losses**: ImmunityBio reported a quarterly loss of $0.15 per share for Q4 2024, which is an improvement from the $0.19 per share loss in the same period the previous year. This indicates a trend towards reducing losses.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|IBRX|IBRX.O|ImmunityBio|2024 Q1|25.925925925925924|-0.2|185|
|IBRX|IBRX.O|ImmunityBio|2024 Q2|37.5|-0.2|185|
|IBRX|IBRX.O|ImmunityBio|2024 Q3|26.315789473684205|-0.14|185|
2. **Comparing with Analyst Estimates**: The company has occasionally missed EPS estimates, such as in Q4 2024, where the expected loss was $0.26 per share, but the company reported a loss of $0.15 per share. This represents an earnings surprise of 42.31%, indicating that the company has performed better than expected in this quarter.
3. **Revenue Performance**: While ImmunityBio has missed EPS estimates in some quarters, it has consistently beaten revenue expectations. For instance, in Q4 2024, the company's revenue was $7.55 million, which was slightly below the estimate of $7.60 million, but a significant improvement from the previous year's revenue of $0.14 million.
4. **Trends in Earnings Estimates**: The company has a history of surpassing consensus EPS estimates two out of the last four quarters. This suggests that while there may be some volatility in earnings, the company's performance is improving over time.
5. **Market Performance and Future Outlook**: ImmunityBio's stock has seen a 28.5% increase since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.2% gain. This indicates positive market sentiment, which may be driven by factors beyond just EPS performance.
6. **Investor Considerations**: Investors should monitor the company's future earnings reports and revenue trends closely. The sustainability of recent improvements in revenue and the reduction in EPS losses will be crucial in determining the stock's future performance.
In conclusion, while ImmunityBio's EPS has shown some volatility, the company's performance is improving, and it has consistently beaten revenue expectations. Investors may not need to worry immediately, but they should remain vigilant and consider the broader context of the company's financial health and market performance.