What can investors expect from CGAU's Q1 2025 EPS forecast?
4/9/2025 02:46pm
**Centerra Gold's Q1 2025 EPS Forecast Analysis**:
1. **Analyst Expectations**: The consensus estimate for Centerra Gold's Q1 2025 EPS is $0.1. This suggests that analysts are anticipating a relatively modest earnings contribution from the company during this period.
2. **Recent Performance and Trends**:
- Centerra Gold's recent earnings history has seen fluctuations. The company reported $0.28 EPS for Q1 2024, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.29 by $0.01.
- Raymond James, a notable analyst, has reduced its Q1 2025 EPS estimate to $0.08, down from $0.13. This adjustment reflects a more cautious outlook, indicating potential challenges or operational issues that may impact earnings.
3. **Market Sentiment and Ratings**:
- National Bank Financial maintains an "Outperform Overweight" rating, indicating a positive long-term view but acknowledges the short-term challenges.
- Raymond James' rating and price target adjustments reflect a more cautious stance, suggesting that while the long-term potential may be good, there are near-term risks to consider.
4. **Comparative Performance**: Over the past two years, Centerra Gold has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time, indicating a reasonable track record of performance relative to expectations. However, the company's revenue estimates have been more consistently met, with an 88% success rate over the last two years.
5. **Potential Considerations**: Investors should monitor Centerra Gold's operational performance, particularly in light of recent geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures that can impact mining operations and costs.
In conclusion, while there is a positive long-term outlook from some analysts, the Q1 2025 EPS forecast reflects a more cautious stance due to recent performance misses and revised estimates. Investors should weigh these factors alongside their own risk tolerance and investment horizon when considering CGAU.