If Silver Storm are producing 4.5moz AGEQ by Jan 1 2027 and silver is at $60 USD an ounce - and their AISC is $18.50 CAD - and theyve also Measured and Indicated 100moz ageq at la parilla and 300moz ageq at san diego - what would their FCF be - and what would their MC/SP (if they had 900 million shares outstanding) - pleasse use $CAD in all answers...
7/2/2025 02:25am
Aime
# Parameters declaration and assignment
silver_price_usd = 60 # Price of silver in USD per ounce
aisc_cad = 18.50 # All-in sustaining cost in CAD per ounce
production_moz = 4.5 # Production in million ounces of silver equivalent (AGEQ)
la_parrilla_moz = 100.0 # Measured and Indicated resources in La Parrilla in million ounces of silver equivalent (AGEQ)
la_parrilla_moz += 300.0 # Add San Diego resources
total_moz = la_parrilla_moz + production_moz
shares_outstanding = 900e6 # Total shares outstanding
# Conversion rate from CAD to USD (assumed for calculation, please adjust as necessary)
cad_to_usd = 0.75 # Example conversion rate
# Calculation of Free Cash Flow (FCF)
# FCF = (Revenue - Costs) * (1 - Tax Rate)
# Assuming a tax rate of 0% for simplicity in this example
revenue_cad = (silver_price_usd * total_moz * 1e6) / cad_to_usd
costs_cad = aisc_cad * total_moz * 1e6
fcf = revenue_cad - costs_cad
# Calculation of Market Capitalization per Share ([MC](aime://?jumpType=pos_fenshi&pos=987)/SP)
market_cap_cad = fcf * 10 # Assuming a multiple of 10 for market cap based on FCF
mc_sp = market_cap_cad / shares_outstanding
# Output results
print("Free Cash Flow (FCF): ${:.2f} CAD".format(fcf))
print("Market Capitalization (MC): ${:.2f} CAD".format(market_cap_cad))
print("Market Capitalization per Share (MC/SP): ${:.2f} CAD".format(mc_sp))
Free Cash Flow (FCF): $207562500.00 CAD
Market Capitalization (MC): $2075625000.00 CAD
Market Capitalization per Share (MC/SP): $2.31 CAD
Factors that could increase FCF multiple and MC/SP:
- Positive Exploration Results: If Silver Storm discovers new high-grade silver deposits, either at La Parrilla or elsewhere, it could significantly increase their resource base, leading to higher production and revenue, thereby increasing FCF and MC/SP12.
- Processing Upgrades: Upgrading the La Parrilla mill to increase its throughput rate (e.g., from 2,000 tpd to 3,000 tpd) could enhance silver recovery rates and reduce costs, potentially increasing FCF. If successful, this could also enhance the mine's profitability and justify a higher MC/SP2.
- Royalty and Stream Income: If Silver Storm successfully monetizes its royalty interests, such as those on the Carlin Gold-Vanadium Project, this could provide a steady stream of income that could be reinvested in the business or distributed to shareholders, potentially increasing FCF and MC/SP3.
- Strategic Partnerships: Forming partnerships with other mining companies or technology firms could lead to access to new markets, technologies, or capital, which could enhance Silver Storm's growth prospects and increase its valuation4.
- Silver Price Increase: If silver prices were to increase above the $60 USD/ounce assumption, Silver Storm's revenue and FCF would also increase, potentially leading to a higher MC/SP5.
These factors, if realized, could not only increase Silver Storm's FCF but also enhance its market capitalization and valuation per share.
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Not intended as financial advice