So i must sell tmde in monday, coincodex 2 dollars wont happen this year ?

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking whether they should sell TMD Energy (TMDE) stock on Monday, given that Coincodex's forecast of $2.06 by October 26, 2025, seems highly unlikely. They want to know if selling on Monday is the right move and if the $2.06 target won't be met this year.

First, I need to review the provided references and background information. The user has a history of questions about TMDE's bioenergy partnership, lock-up expiration, and stock price movements. The latest data shows TMDE's closing price at $0.84 on September 26, 2025, with a bearish trend and a lock-up ending on September 27, 2025. There's also a forecast from Coincodex expecting a rise to $2.06 by October 26, 2025.

The user's profile indicates they're interested in tech and financial stocks, with a focus on innovative themes like smart cities and sustainability. They're looking for a strategic approach to investing, possibly with a longer-term horizon but cautious about high-risk stocks.

Now, analyzing the situation:

1. **Lock-Up Expiration**: The lock-up ends on September 27, 2025. Insiders can start trading from Monday, September 29. However, there's no historical data on insider buying activity, making it speculative whether they'll buy or sell.

2. **Bioenergy Partnership**: The MOA with Double Corporate is in the exclusive negotiation phase until June 2026. No concrete updates are expected in 2025, which means the partnership isn't a near-term catalyst.

3. **Market Sentiment and Technicals**: The stock is in a bearish trend with high volatility. The support and resistance levels suggest limited upside without a catalyst. Coincodex's forecast assumes insider buying and bioenergy progress, which are both uncertain.

4. **User's Strategy**: The user has been advised to sell if the stock rises to $1.10 or drops below $0.70 on Monday. This aligns with a risk management approach, given the lack of catalysts and high volatility.

Putting this together, the user's concern is whether to hold for the long-term potential of the bioenergy partnership or sell immediately due to the high risks and lack of near-term catalysts. The answer needs to confirm that selling on Monday is prudent, explain why Coincodex's forecast is unlikely, and provide a clear rationale based on the data.

I should structure the answer with a definitive conclusion, followed by a detailed analysis using the provided references. Include tables for clarity and ensure all citations are properly formatted. Also, address the user's specific points about the $2.06 target and the reasoning behind the recommendation to sell on Monday.

### 🚨 **Conclusion** 🚨
Yes, you should **sell TMDE stock on Monday (2025-09-29)**. Coincodex’s forecast of $2.06 by October 26, 2025, is **highly unlikely** given the lack of near-term catalysts and the speculative nature of the stock. Here’s why:

---

### 📊 **Why Sell on Monday?** 📊

#### 1. **Lock-Up Expiration**
- **Insider Activity**: The lock-up period ends today (27-SEP-2025), but **no historical data** confirms insider buying. A price surge to $1.10 could signal optimism, but it’s not guaranteed.
- **Market Reaction**: If the stock drops below $0.70, it reflects **lack of confidence** in the bioenergy partnership or lock-up expiration.

#### 2. **No Catalysts**
| Catalyst | Status |
|----------|--------|
| **Bioenergy Partnership** | In **exclusive negotiation phase** (ends 18-JUN-2026), no updates expected in 2025. |
| **Earnings Report** | Last update: 14-MAY-2025; no bioenergy-related progress disclosed. |

#### 3. **Risk Management**
| Metric | Threshold | Action |
|--------|-----------|--------|
| **Price Rise to $1.10** | 30.95% upside | Sell to lock in gains. |
| **Price Drop Below $0.70** | 16.67% downside | Sell to cut losses. |
| **No Movement** | Flat or slight swing | Sell at $0.84–$0.90 to avoid waiting for uncertain upside. |

---

### 📊 **Why Coincodex’s $2.06 Forecast Is Unlikely** 📊

#### 1. **Current Market Context**
| Metric | TMDE Stock |
|--------|------------|
| **Price** | $0.84 (2025-09-26) |
| **Market Cap** | ~$20.7M (small-cap, high volatility) |
| **Sentiment** | Bearish (Fear & Greed Index: 39) |

#### 2. **Key Risks**
| Risk | Impact |
|------|--------|
| **No Insider Activity** | Stock could stagnate or drop post-lock-up. |
| **Partnership Delays** | Bioenergy collaboration is still in the **exclusive negotiation phase** (ends 18-JUN-2026). |
| **High Volatility** | TMDE’s stock is vulnerable to price swings (±5% daily). |

#### 3. **Coincodex’s Assumptions**
| Assumption | Reality Check |
|------------|---------------|
| **Insider Buying** | No historical data confirms insider activity post-lock-up. |
| **Bioenergy Catalyst** | Partnership is speculative; no updates expected in 2025. |
| **Technical Setup** | TMDE’s RSI (65.84) suggests bullish momentum, but no concrete catalysts to sustain it. |

---

### 📊 **Final Takeaway** 📊
Selling TMDE on Monday aligns with a **risk-averse strategy**. Coincodex’s $2.06 forecast assumes best-case scenarios (e.g., insider buying, bioenergy success), but the **lack of near-term catalysts** makes this outcome **highly unlikely**. Focus on **risk management** and monitor for **bioenergy updates** in 2026+.

| Metric | TMDE Stock |
|--------|------------|
| Current Price | $0.84 (2025-09-26) |
| Coincodex Target | $2.06 (144.90% upside) |
| Risk-Reward Ratio | High risk (50%+ downside) vs. high reward (144.90% upside) |

---

### 📊 **Next Steps** 📊
1. Set alerts for **$1.10** (sell) and **$0.70** (sell).
2. Monitor TMDE’s stock price on Monday (2025-09-29).
3. Execute your strategy based on price action.

Let me know if you need further clarification! 🚀