How mush per share could ASTS go up if satellite launch in September is successful?

The potential increase in ASTS stock price following a successful satellite launch in September is difficult to predict with certainty, but several factors indicate that it could be substantial. Here's an analysis based on the current situation and market sentiment:

1. Historical Stock Performance: ASTS has seen a significant surge in its stock price in the past few months, with gains of over 1,000% in the last three months. This indicates a strong positive sentiment among investors, which could amplify the effect of a successful satellite launch.
2. Market Expectations: The upcoming satellite launch is considered a critical milestone for the company. The company's recent business update and second-quarter results have been well-received by investors. The anticipation of a successful launch has already driven up the stock price.
3. Analyst Price Targets: Analysts have set price targets for ASTS shares, with an average around $15.50 per share. Given the current sentiment and the potential for growth in revenues and profits, as discussed earlier, it's reasonable to assume that these targets could be significantly higher after a successful launch.
4. Potential for Subscriber Growth: A successful launch is expected to accelerate subscriber growth. This could lead to increased average revenue per user (ARPU) and interest from more mobile network operators, further boosting the company's revenues and stock value.
5. Strategic Partners: ASTS has partnered with major telecommunications companies like AT&T, Verizon, and Vodafone, which could provide additional revenue streams and enhance the company's market position. The successful launch could be a catalyst for these partnerships to bear fruit, contributing to the stock's growth.
6. Market Sentiment and Volatility: The stock market can be volatile, especially for high-risk investments like ASTS. The positive sentiment and excitement surrounding the launch could lead to a short-term spike in the stock price.

Given these points, a successful satellite launch in September could potentially lead to a significant increase in the stock price of ASTS. However, it's important to note that stock prices are influenced by a myriad of factors, and predicting future performance is inherently uncertain. Therefore, while a successful launch could significantly enhance the company's prospects, it is not possible to provide a precise numerical prediction for how much the stock could go up.