How does LOT's Q3 earnings surprise compare to previous quarters?
4/10/2025 04:29pm
**Oil and Natural Gas Limited (LOT) has experienced a decline in Q3 earnings compared to the previous quarter.** Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Q3 Earnings Decline**: LOT's profit for Q3 fell 9% year-on-year to ₹14.67 billion ($175 million), missing analysts' predicted profit of ₹16.87 billion. This indicates a downward trend in earnings compared to the previous quarter.
2. **Expense Surge Impact**: The company's total expenses surged nearly 40% to ₹40.26 billion, primarily due to a quadrupling of excise duty costs. This increase offset the impact of a 26% rise in quarterly revenue to ₹58.40 billion. This suggests that while revenue increased, it was not enough to offset the higher expenses, leading to a lower profit margin.
3. **Tax Impact**: The introduction of windfall tax on petroleum crude by the Indian government had a significant impact on LOT's profitability. This tax, aimed at boosting local supply and targeting refiners boosting product exports, affected LOT's profit as it was imposed three times within the quarter. This additional burden contributed to the lower-than-expected earnings.
4. **Production Growth Amid Declining Profit Margins**: Despite increased crude oil and natural gas production, LOT faced challenges with lower profit margins and turnover. The average annual gas price decreased from $6.92 to $6.5 per MMBTU, and the NRL profit after tax declined from ₹2,933.56 crores to ₹1,516.66 crores. This highlights a trend of growing production volumes not translating into proportional profit growth due to pricing pressures and operational costs.
In conclusion, LOT's Q3 earnings were negatively impacted by higher expenses and tax factors, despite strong production growth. This trend is consistent with the challenges faced by the company in recent quarters, indicating a period of adjustment and potential headwinds in the oil and gas sector.