How did TLRY's Q3 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?

Tilray Brands' Q3 2025 EPS Forecast and Past Trends Analysis

1. Comparison with Analyst Estimates and Historical Performance:
   • Analysts anticipate an EPS of $-0.03 for Q3 2025.
   • Tilray Brands has a history of fluctuating EPS, with a significant decrease in EPS from $0.05 in Q3 2024 to $0 in Q4 2024, and a further decrease to$-0.1 in Q1 2024.
   • The company's EPS improved to $0.04 in Q4 2024, followed by a slight dip to $0 in Q3 2024, and then a slight increase to$-0.01 in Q2 2025, and finally, a reported $0.00 in Q3 2025, which beats the estimate by $0.03.

2. Revenue Trends:
   • Tilray Brands' revenue has shown a slight decrease, with Q3 2025 revenue at $185.8 million, a 1.3% year-over-year decrease, missing the estimate by $23.97 million.
   • The company's revenue has been impacted by strategic initiatives and SKU rationalization, which affected revenue by $13 million.
   • Historical revenue trends show fluctuations, with a decrease from $188.34 million in Q3 2024 to $185.78 million in Q3 2025.
3. Market Sentiment and Outlook:
   • Despite the EPS beat, the company's stock has fallen for seven consecutive sessions prior to the earnings release, indicating negative market sentiment.
   • The company revised its full-year revenue guidance to $850 million to $900 million, suggesting a cautious optimism.
   • The GF Value estimate suggests a strong future valuation increase for TLRY, with an average one-year price target from analysts indicating a potential 217.57% upside from the current trading price.

In conclusion, Tilray Brands' Q3 2025 EPS forecast of $0.00 represents an improvement from the previous quarter's EPS of$-0.01, but the company continues to face challenges in revenue growth, as evidenced by the slight decline in revenue and the impact of strategic initiatives on revenue. Despite these challenges, the company's revised guidance and the potential for future valuation increases suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook.