How did THG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?

The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is expected to report earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $3.90 in Q1 2025, which is significantly higher than the EPS figures reported in the past five years:

1. **Comparison to Recent Past**: The $3.90 EPS forecast for Q1 2025 is substantially higher than the most recent previous quarter's EPS of $0.98 reported in Q4 2023. This indicates a strong potential recovery or improvement in earnings performance.
2. **Comparison to Historical Trends**: The current EPS forecast is also notably higher than the EPS figures from earlier in the past five years. For instance, the EPS in Q4 2024 was $11.70, while in Q4 2023, it was $9.42, and in Q4 2022, it was $3.21. The Q1 2025 forecast suggests a continuation of this upward trend.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2020 Q1|-135.016835016835|-1.04|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2020 Q2|68.15642458100557|3.01|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2020 Q3|5.743243243243241|3.13|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2021 Q1|341.3461538461538|2.51|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2021 Q2|16.943521594684395|3.52|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2021 Q3|-69.96805111821087|0.94|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2022 Q1|15.537848605577695|2.9|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2022 Q2|-82.10227272727273|0.63|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2022 Q3|-98.93617021276596|0.01|169|
|THG|THG.N|The Hanover Insurance Group|2023 Q1|-111.72413793103448|-0.34|169|

The significant increase in the EPS forecast for Q1 2025 compared to the past few quarters suggests that THG may be experiencing a strong earnings recovery or growth period. Investors may view this as a positive indicator, potentially leading to increased interest in the stock. However, it's important to consider other financial metrics and market conditions before making investment decisions.