hood price forecast in the next 1 month

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7/2/2025 02:54am

Aime

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle the user's question about Robinhood's (HOOD) price forecast for the next month. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references. The user is interested in a 1-month price forecast, so I'll look for any references that mention this specifically.

Looking through the references, I see that Query 14 is about the 1-month stock price forecast high and low estimates, but it shows 0 results found. That's a bit of a problem because the user is asking for a forecast, and there's no direct data here. However, there are other references that might help. 

Reference 3 provides a Support and Resistance analysis. The current price is above the wide resistance level, and the forecast is bullish with a buy advice. The historical win rate is slightly higher than the market average, which is a positive sign. The forecast price trend is bullish, which aligns with the user's interest in potential upside.

Reference 2 discusses the Time-Series Price Trend Forecast. The current trend is bullish for 58 days, but the continuation probability is only 15%. That's low, which might indicate some uncertainty. The conditioned trend shows a clear trend for 56 days with a 15% continuation probability, which is a bit conflicting. The unconditioned trend gives days with 70% and 50% probability, which might not be directly helpful for a 1-month forecast.

Reference 4 is the Trend Similarity-Based Price Forecast. It provides forecast prices from 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-30. The mean forecast price starts around $92.7 and goes up to $94.24. The confidence intervals (34% and 68%) show a range, but the expected max gain is 14.43%, which is significant. The expected max loss is -14.96%, which is a wide swing. The trend forecast here is bullish, which is consistent with other references.

References 5, 6, 7, 9, 15, 16, 17, 19, 20, 24 mention recent price movements, analyst upgrades, and technical analysis. For example, the stock reached an all-time high at $94.24 on 2025-06-30, and there were analyst price targets raised to $100 and $95. The technical analysis in Reference 20 shows mixed signals, with some indicators suggesting a sell but others a buy. The RSI is 70.37, which is overbought, but the MACD is suggesting a sell. However, the moving averages are bullish.

Institutional activity from References 18, 21, 22, 23, 25, 26, 27 shows that some institutions are selling shares, while others are increasing their holdings. This mixed activity might indicate分歧 among institutional investors.

Putting this all together, the user is looking for a 1-month forecast. Since there's no direct 1-month forecast data, I'll have to infer from the available data. The Trend Similarity-Based Forecast (Reference 4) gives a range of prices from around $92 to $98, with a mean around $93. The expected max gain is 14.43%, which from the current price of $92.33 would take it to around $105. However, the max loss is -14.96%, which would drop it to around $78. The support and resistance levels (Reference 3) suggest that the wide resistance is around $82.61, but the current price is above that, so the next level is the narrow resistance at $88.36. However, the stock has already broken above that, so the next resistance might be higher.

The analyst upgrades and price targets (References 6, 15, 16) suggest that some analysts are bullish, with targets up to $100. The technical analysis (Reference 20) has mixed signals, but the moving averages are bullish. The institutional activity is mixed, with some selling and some buying.

Considering the user's profile, they are risk-tolerant and interested in technical analysis and news-driven strategies. They also like blue-chip stocks and market sentiment. The recent news about crypto expansion (References 6, 15, 17) is a positive catalyst. The earnings release date is in April 2025, which is past the current time (2025-07-01), so that's not relevant here.

The conclusion should balance the bullish signals from the trend analysis, analyst upgrades, and recent price highs against the technical overbought conditions and mixed institutional activity. The forecast should present the possible price range, expected gains/losses, and key levels to watch. The user might be looking for a target price range and the risks involved.

Conclusion 🎯

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) presents a bullish outlook for the next 1 month, supported by crypto expansion catalysts, analyst upgrades, and technical breakout signals. However, volatility risks remain due to overbought conditions and mixed institutional sentiment.

Analysis 📊

1. Price Forecast Range

Based on Trend Similarity-Based Forecast the mean forecast price for HOOD ranges from $92.7 to $94.24 over the next 1 month (2025-07-01 to 2025-07-30). The expected max gain is 14.43%, while the expected max loss is -14.96%, reflecting high volatility.

Metric	Value	Implication
Forecast Price (Mean)	$92.7–$94.24	Neutral to bullish alignment
Expected Max Gain	+14.43%	Potential upside from crypto push
Expected Max Loss	-14.96%	Risk of pullback post-earnings

2. Key Catalysts

Crypto Expansion: Recent launches of US stock tokens in Europe and crypto staking ¹² have driven 12.8% price surge ². Analysts like Cantor Fitzgerald raised price targets to $100 ³.
Earnings Watch: HOOD’s Q2 2025 earnings (released on 2025-04-30 ⁴) showed 37.73% monthly gain ⁵, but the stock underperformed the S&P 500 (-1.39% vs. -0.11%) ⁶.

3. Technical Indicators

Resistance Breakout: HOOD closed at $92.33 ⁶, above its wide resistance level ($82.61) The narrow resistance ($88.36) was also breached, signaling bullish momentum ⁷.
Overbought Warning: RSI (70.37) and STOCH (84.17) indicate overbought conditions ⁸, suggesting a potential pullback.

4. Institutional Activity

Mixed Sentiment: While some institutions like Cantor Fitzgerald raised price targets ³, others like KBC Group NV reduced stakes ⁹. Overall, 93.27% of shares are institutionally owned ¹⁰.

Key Takeaways 📌

Bullish Case: Crypto expansion, analyst upgrades, and resistance breakout favor short-term upside.
Bearish Risk: Overbought technicals and mixed institutional activity pose volatility risks.
Target Range: $92.7–$94.24 (1-month forecast) with 14.43% upside potential.

For a risk-tolerant investor like you, HOOD aligns with your interest in Blockchain Economy and WallStreetBets themes. However, monitor support levels ($65.39–$71.13) for potential pullbacks.

Final Call: Hold with a price target of $94.24 (1-month forecast mean).

Source:

1. Robinhood (HOOD) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why