GBP/AUD Analysis for Today
- Technical Indicators: The GBP/AUD pair is currently showing a bearish signal with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower and in bearish territory, suggesting a potential for a lower move towards the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2945. If GBP/AUD strengthens further, the next stop would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.311212.
- Recent Market Dynamics: Despite the upward momentum, the pair remains within the 1.3000-1.3100 range, testing key resistance levels. A break above the 50-day moving average at 1.3112 could open the path to the 1.3174 October high1. The Pound Sterling recovered some ground and rose 0.18% on Tuesday against the US Dollar following a strong UK jobs report that pushed the unemployment rate lower, while the economy added over 373,000 jobs, crushing estimates of 250,000. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3081 after bouncing off the daily low of 1.30351.
- Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is cautious, with GBP/AUD remaining in a tight range between 1.3010 and 1.3095, pressured by the 50-DMA at 1.3104 and support at 1.3000. Momentum favors sellers, with the RSI in bearish territory, suggesting potential for a lower move towards the 100-DMA at 1.29452. If GBP/AUD stays below 1.3100, this could expose the 1.3050 psychological level. The next support would be the October 10 swing low of 1.3010, followed by the September 11 daily low of 1.30012.
- Support and Resistance Levels: The pair is currently trading near the 100-day SMA at 1.2967, with a break above 1.3000 potentially targeting 1.3015 and the weekly high of 1.3057. If sellers break below 1.2967, further support lies at the bottom trendline near 1.2925/35 for a bearish shift4.
- Conclusion: GBP/AUD is expected to face challenges above 1.3100, and if it breaks above this level, it could move towards 1.3200. However, if it fails to break above 1.3100, it could test the support level at 1.3000. The overall sentiment is cautious with a slight bearish bias, indicating a potential for consolidation or a slight pullback in the near term.
In summary, GBP/AUD is currently trading in a narrow range, and traders should monitor the key levels of 1.3000 and 1.3100 for guidance on the direction of the pair.