Will F's 2025 Q1 forecast meet actual results?

Ford's 2025 Q1 forecast may not meet actual results, considering the following factors:

1. Weaker Profit Outlook: Ford anticipates a challenging 2025 with adjusted EBIT guidance of $7 billion to $8.5 billion, which is below the adjusted EBIT of $10.2 billion seen in 2024. This suggests that the company expects reduced profitability in the upcoming quarter.
2. Volume Decline and Pricing Pressure: Ford expects a decline in wholesales in the first quarter of 2025, which could lead to lower revenue and profitability. Additionally, the company faces pricing pressure, particularly in the fleet environment, which could impact profitability.
3. Electrification Costs: Ford projects up to $5.5 billion in losses on its electric vehicle and software operations for 2025, similar to the losses incurred in 2024. The company's electric vehicle segment is expected to incur significant losses, which could affect the overall financial performance of the company.
4. Market Uncertainties: The potential impact of policy or tariff changes is not considered in Ford's 2025 guidance. Any unexpected policy changes could further affect the company's profitability.

Given these factors, it is likely that Ford's 2025 Q1 forecast may not meet actual results. The company's expectations reflect a more cautious outlook due to various headwinds, including market factors, electrification costs, and uncertain policies.