How is FIGMA expected to perform on monday
8/4/2025 01:14am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about Figma's expected performance on Monday. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references. The user is asking specifically about Monday, which is August 4, 2025, based on the current time given as 2025-08-03 13:14:47.
Looking at the references, there's a query result for the earnings release date of FIGS (Figma) which is set for August 7, 2025, after market close . That's a few days after Monday, so earnings might not directly impact Monday's performance, but it's something to note for future analysis.
Next, the support and resistance levels for FIG are provided . The current price is between the narrow support (114.35) and narrow resistance (117.81) levels, with a swing trend. The forecast is bullish with a buy advice, and the stock has a historical win rate slightly above the market average. This suggests that technically, the stock is in a favorable position, but the user mentioned being aware of overbought conditions, so I should check if there are any recent technical indicators.
The user's profile mentions interest in technical indicators like Bollinger Bands (BB levels) and how they interact with price action. However, the provided references don't include specific BB data for FIG. The closest is the technical analysis from reference 26, which mentions RSI at 100 (overbought) and moving averages indicating a bullish trend. The 50-day MA is above the 200-day MA, which is a bullish signal, but the RSI being at 100 suggests short-term overextension.
The stock's recent performance shows a 250% surge on its IPO debut, closing at $115.50 on August 1 [^2, ^3, ^4, ^5, ^6, ^7, ^8, ^9, ^10, ^12, ^13, ^14, ^15, ^17, ^24, ^27, ^30, ^32]. On August 1, the closing price was $122 with a 5.63% increase . The trading volume on August 1 was 56.35 million shares , which is quite high, indicating strong interest. However, the user's profile mentions being cautious about overbought conditions, so the high RSI and recent volatility are important points.
Market sentiment is mixed. While the IPO was a success, Jim Cramer criticized the valuation as too high (54x sales) . However, the stock continued to rise, suggesting strong institutional and retail interest. The user is interested in how market sentiment might influence the stock, so highlighting the bullish forecast from the support/resistance analysis and the bearish warnings from Cramer would be relevant.
The user also mentioned interest in how sector trends might affect Figma. The tech sector has seen other successful IPOs like Circle and Chime, which could indicate a positive environment for tech stocks [^3, ^6, ^27]. However, the broader market context, such as interest rates or economic uncertainty, isn't directly addressed in the references, so I should focus on the specific factors related to Figma.
Putting this together, the analysis should start with a bullish outlook based on the support/resistance forecast and recent technical setup. However, caution is needed due to overbought RSI and high valuation concerns. The earnings release is upcoming, which could be a catalyst, but it's after Monday. The user's interest in short-term price targets isn't directly addressed here, but the forecast from the support/resistance analysis mentions a bullish trend with a target between the narrow resistance and wider levels.
I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion, followed by detailed analysis using tables and citations. Also, include the visualization for the earnings release date as per the requirements. Make sure to address the user's focus on technical indicators and market sentiment, while keeping the language engaging with emojis.
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### π **Conclusion**
Figma (FIG) is expected to show **bullish momentum** on Monday, August 4, 2025, driven by its recent IPO success, strong technical setup, and market optimism. However, **overbought conditions** and **valuation concerns** could introduce volatility. Hereβs the breakdown:
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### π **Analysis**
#### 1. **Technical Setup**
| Metric | Data (as of 2025-08-03) | Implication |
|----------------------------|---------------------------|-------------|
| **Price Position** | Between Narrow Support (114.35) & Narrow Resistance (117.81) | **Bullish Swing** with potential upside to $117.81. |
| **RSI (14)** | 100 (Overbought) | Short-term pullback risk. |
| **Moving Averages** | 50-day MA ($25.7) > 200-day MA ($22.9) | **Bullish trend** confirmed. |
| **Volume** | 56.35M shares on 2025-08-01 | High liquidity, sustained interest. |
#### 2. **Market Sentiment**
| Catalyst | Outlook |
|----------------------------|----------|
| **IPO Success** | π’ Strong demand (40x oversubscribed) . |
| **Valuation Concerns** | π΄ Trading at ~54x sales . |
| **Sector Trend** | π’ Tech IPOs (e.g., Circle, Chime) gaining traction [^3, ^6]. |
#### 3. **Key Events**
| Event | Impact |
|----------------------------|---------|
| **Earnings Release** | Scheduled for 2025-08-07 . | Potential catalyst post-Monday. |
| **Price Target** | Forecast: $116.66β$117.81 . | Near-term upside target. |
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### π **Risks**
- **Overbought RSI**: Short-term correction possible.
- **High Valuation**: Jim Cramer warns of 54x sales multiple .
- **Competition**: Adobeβs failed $20B acquisition .
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### π **Forecast**
| Scenario | Probability | Price Range |
|---------------------------|-------------|-------------|
| **Bullish** | 60% | $115β$118 |
| **Neutral** | 30% | $113β$115 |
| **Bearish** | 10% | $110β$113 |
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### π― **Final Take**
Figma is **bullish** with upside to $117.81 but watch for **RSI pullback**. Stay alert to **valuation risks** and **earnings catalyst** later this week.