What factors influence KMT's EPS forecasts most?


Aime
Kennametal's (KMT) EPS forecasts are influenced by a combination of factors, including market conditions, operational performance, and strategic initiatives. Here's a breakdown of the key factors impacting KMT's EPS forecasts:
- Market Challenges: Kennametal is facing challenges due to decreased sales in key segments such as infrastructure and metal cutting, which have declined by 4% and 7% year-over-year, respectively1. These declines directly impact revenue and, consequently, EPS.
- Earnings Decline Expectations: Analysts anticipate a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when KMT reports results for the quarter ended September 202423. This expectation of earnings decline reflects the broader market sentiment and the company's performance relative to industry norms.
- Restructuring Efforts: Kennametal has initiated restructuring actions aimed at cost savings, including facility closures and consolidations4. While these actions are intended to improve long-term profitability, they may temporarily impact earnings as the company navigates the transition.
- Operating Margin Improvements: Despite the challenges, Kennametal has seen an improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin to 13.9% from 12.4% in the prior year1. This indicates that the company's operational efficiency is improving, which could positively influence EPS as the improved margins translate to better net income.
- Cash Flow Enhancements: The company's cash from operating activities has increased year-to-date to $101 million, up from previous periods1. Enhanced cash flow can support dividend payments and reinvestment in the business, which are important considerations for EPS.
In conclusion, Kennametal's EPS forecasts are primarily influenced by the company's revenue generation, particularly in light of the current market challenges and restructuring efforts. The improved operating margins and cash flow enhancements provide some positivity, but the overall trend suggests that KMT's EPS may face pressure in the near term.
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Kennametal Inc (KMT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Market Challenges with ...
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