EXC, is this a good short term a good long-term or is it not a good investment at all?


Aime
Exelon (EXC) appears to be a stable long-term investment, but may not be the most compelling short-term play due to its industry and current market conditions. Here's a detailed analysis:
- Financial Performance:
- Exelon's recent financials show a solid revenue growth rate of 11.27% year-over-year1, indicating a strong market presence.
- The company's net income has grown by 30.61%1, which is a significant increase and suggests improved profitability.
- However, the diluted EPS has decreased by 31.82%1, which could be a red flag for some investors, especially those looking for consistent earnings growth.
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EXC Total Revenue YoY, Total Revenue
- Growth Rates and Trends:
- Over the last three years, Exelon has shown a revenue CAGR of 10.06%2, a net income CAGR of 12.82%2, and a diluted EPS CAGR of 15.97%2. These figures indicate a consistent and positive growth trajectory.
- The company's earnings growth has been robust, which is a positive sign for long-term investors.
EXC Total Revenue (FY), Net Income (FY)...
- Valuation Metrics:
- Exelon's P/E ratio stands at 16.553, which is relatively high, suggesting that the stock may be somewhat overvalued compared to the industry average. However, a P/E ratio this high can also indicate that the market expects high future earnings growth.
- The P/B ratio is 1.533, which is moderate, and the P/S ratio is 1.763, both of which are reasonable given the company's industry and growth prospects.
EXC P/E(TTM), P/S...
- Industry and Market Position:
- Exelon operates in the Electric Utilities industry4, which is generally considered stable and defensive. This can be advantageous during economic downturns.
- The company's high dividend yield of 3.68%5 is a positive feature, especially for income-focused investors, and suggests a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
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EXC Dividend Yield (TTM)
- Shareholder Dynamics:
- Institutional ownership is high at 86%6, which indicates strong confidence from large investors. This can be a positive signal for the company's future prospects.
- The consensus rating from analysts is "Hold"7, which suggests that while the stock is not seen as a strong buy, it also isn't considered a sell, indicating a neutral to positive view of the stock.
- Earnings and Revenue Expectations:
- Analysts expect Exelon to announce earnings of $0.68 per share for the quarter8, which is a notable figure given the previous quarter's earnings exceeded expectations.
- The company has set guidance for FY 2024 EPS of $2.40-$2.508, which, if met, could provide a benchmark for future performance.
In conclusion, Exelon shows signs of being a good long-term investment due to its consistent growth, stable industry, and attractive dividend. However, the high P/E ratio and recent decrease in diluted EPS may deter some investors, and the "Hold" consensus suggests that while it has potential, it may not be an immediate standout for short-term gains. Investors should consider their investment horizon and risk tolerance before making a decision.
Source:
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EXC Revenue Growth Rate, Net Income Growth Rate, Diluted EPS Growth Rate
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