Is crwv a buy or sell?
8/21/2025 09:15am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about whether CRWV is a buy or sell. The user is a conservative investor looking for defensive stocks, so I need to focus on stability and risk factors. First, I'll check the technical indicators from the references. The closing price is $91.52, with resistance at 148.8 and support at 103.11. The stock is below both, which isn't great. The MACD is negative (-4.77), RSI is 28.64 (oversold), KDJ is -9.21, and BOLL is 112.07. The 5-day MA is 96.14, 10-day 113.76, 20-day 112.07. The stock is below all these moving averages, indicating a downtrend. Net fund flow is negative, which isn't good for a defensive pick.
Looking at the financials, the company has a massive debt of $25B and a high P/S ratio of 22x. They're unprofitable with a net loss and high interest expenses. The competitive landscape is tough with AWS, Microsoft, and NVIDIA. The user is interested in Intel and SNGX, which are more stable, so CRWV's high risk might not fit. The technicals and fundamentals both point to a sell. The user's conservative approach means avoiding high-risk stocks, so the answer should be a sell with clear reasons.
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### **Conclusion**
**CRWV (CoreWeave) is a **SELL** for conservative investors** due to its high debt burden, unprofitable operations, and technical weakness. The stock faces significant risks from debt servicing, competition, and market volatility, making it unsuitable for risk-averse investors seeking stability.
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### **Analysis**
#### **1. Technical Indicators: Weak Setup**
- **Price Action**: CRWV closed at **$91.52** on 2025-08-20, below its **resistance level ($148.8)** and **support level ($103.11)**.
- **Oscillators**:
- **MACD**: -4.77 (bearish signal).
- **RSI**: 28.64 (oversold, but no bullish reversal yet).
- **KDJ**: -9.21 (extremely bearish).
- **Moving Averages**: CRWV is below its **5-day (96.14)**, **10-day (113.76)**, and **20-day (112.07)** moving averages, confirming a downtrend.
- **Bollinger Band**: Price is below the lower band (112.07), indicating extreme bearishness.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Support Level|Resistance Level|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CRWV|CRWV.O|CoreWeave|20250820|103.1050|148.8000|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CRWV|CRWV.O|CoreWeave|20250820|91.52|185|
#### **2. Fundamental Risks**
- **Debt**: CRWV has **$25 billion in debt**, with **$267 million in quarterly interest expenses**. Its **debt-to-equity ratio** is 3.88, and **interest coverage ratio** is 0.21 (dangerously low).
- **Profitability**: The company reported a **$290.5 million net loss** in Q2 2025, with a **negative net margin (-27.58%)**.
- **Competition**: CRWV faces intense competition from **AWS**, **Microsoft**, and **NVIDIA**, which dominate the AI infrastructure market with **$3367.91 billion** and **$3288.17 billion market caps** respectively.
#### **3. Market Sentiment**
- **Institutional Activity**: CRWV saw **$96.1 million in net fund outflows**, with **$112.3 million in block order selling**.
- **Analyst Ratings**: Most analysts rate CRWV as **“Hold”** or **“Neutral”**, with concerns over debt and execution risks.
#### **4. Why It’s Not a Defensive Stock**
- **High Volatility**: CRWV’s stock price dropped **20.83%** in one day post-earnings, with a **52-week range of $33.52–$187**.
- **No Dividends**: CRWV does not pay dividends, offering no downside protection for conservative investors.
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### **Conclusion**
CRWV is a speculative play on AI infrastructure growth but lacks the stability and profitability required for conservative portfolios. Stick to safer alternatives like **Intel (INTC)** or **SNGX** for long-term stability.