9/25/2025 09:24pm
**Short answer: you *can* trade before the bell—but only if you’re 100 % comfortable with wider spreads, thinner books, and the fact that any “gap-fill” in pre-market can reverse in seconds once the opening auction begins.** ⚡
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### What’s happening right now (09:25 ET snapshot)
| Ticker | Pre-mkt price | Gap vs. close | Volume vs. 8 am | Spread (¢) | Liquidity quality* |
|--------|---------------|---------------|-----------------|------------|--------------------|
| HOOD | $124.60 | –1.7 % (gap now 55 % covered) | 2.1 M sh (↑ 19 %) | 6–8 ¢ | ★★★☆☆ |
| CRCL | $129.90 | –1.3 % (gap 63 % covered) | 650 k sh (↑ 29 %) | 12–18 ¢| ★★☆☆☆ |
\*Rule of thumb: ★★★☆☆ or better usually lets an active day-trader in/out without moving the tape too much.
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### Pros & cons of entering *now* (pre-market)
| Advantage | Why it helps your ultra-short style |
|-----------|---------------------------------------|
| Early seat on the train 🚆 | If the gap finishes filling **before** 09:30, you bank P&L while the crowd is still watching CNBC. |
| Less competition | Many algos wait for the opening cross; pre-mkt is often retail + prop traders only. |
| Clear invalidation | Use the pre-market low/high as a tight stop reference. |
| Pitfall | Why it stings |
|---------|---------------|
| Spreads balloon | HOOD’s 6–8 ¢ isn’t horrible, but CRCL’s 12–18 ¢ can wipe 15 – 20 bps instantly. |
| Limited liquidity | One fat order can exhaust the bid/ask, turning a scalp into a chase. |
| News risk | Any 08:30/09:00 headline (macro, upgrade, lawsuit) can re-gap the stock against you. |
| No opening auction support | The 09:30 imbalance can flip the order book and trash a pre-mkt fill. |
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### Tactical checklist (if you decide to pull the trigger)
1. **Keep size light (½ normal).** Treat it as a *starter*—scale only if the move confirms after 09:30.
2. **Use limit orders, never market.** In pre-mkt there’s no NBBO protection; a market order can fill at the worst print on the book.
3. **Set a hard stop just beyond the pre-mkt extreme.**
• For HOOD: below $123.80 (recent recovery pivot).
• For CRCL: below $128.80 (yesterday’s low).
4. **Watch the imbalance feed (if your broker provides it) by 09:28.** A large sell imbalance negates the gap-cover thesis—exit flat or small.
5. **Target:** the overnight close (full gap fill) *or* the first sign of tape stalling at VWAP. Take wins quickly; don’t hold into the opening rush unless you have a cushion.
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### My bias right now 🏹
• **HOOD still > CRCL** because the bid-depth is roughly 3× and the spread is half.
• I’d nudge in *only* if:
– HOOD holds above $124 for two consecutive 1-min candles, *and*
– Level-II shows size stacking on the bid, not cancellations.
Otherwise, let the bell ring, reassess during the first 5-minute candle, and perhaps hit the trade with clearer liquidity.
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🤔 *Lightning question to fine-tune future playbooks:*
When you do scalp extended hours, which matters more to you—**time-based entries** (e.g., always before 09:15) or **order-flow tells** (e.g., tape speed & bid refresh)? Looking forward to your take!