Could naov see a bullish reversal tomorrow or in the coming week

Bottom-line:
NanoVibronix (NAOV) is showing the first technical hints of a bounce, but the set-up is still incomplete. A decisive bullish reversal will likely require (1) a close back above the short-term moving-average band around $1.05–$1.10 and (2) a volume surge (> 2 M shares) to confirm renewed demand. Without those triggers, the stock may remain range-bound between $0.90 and $1.05 over the next week.

---

1. What the tape is saying right now

5 Jun Close	1-day Change	5-day Trend	14-day RSI	MACD Signal	OBV*
$0.96	-7.68 %	Flat (-1.0 %)	36 (oversold zone starts ≈ 25)	Histogram rising toward zero	Rising marginally

*On-Balance Volume, a proxy for accumulation/distribution.
Data source: Ainvest FinQuery

Key observations from the daily chart (Mar → 5 Jun):

• Price still sits below all key MAs (5-, 10-, 30-day), so the primary trend is down.
• MACD bars have shortened for 10 sessions and the fast line is curling up, a classic early reversal signal.
• RSI 36 is leaning oversold, but not deeply so—room exists for a momentum push, yet there is no snap-back pressure like we saw in late March.
• OBV has stopped falling; that tells us sellers are no longer dominant, but buyers haven’t seized control either.

2. Short-term levels that matter

Level	Why it matters	Probability this week*
$1.05–$1.10	5- & 10-day MAs + last minor swing high	~50 % test; <35 % clean break
$1.25	Gap top 23 May / mid-BB	20 %
$0.90	Lateral support (May pivot)	55 %
$0.67	3-Jun intraday low	15 % unless market risk-off

*Author estimate based on current volatility (±11 %/day) and option-implied moves.

3. Fundamental & sentiment drivers to watch

Catalyst	Directional bias	Timing	Quick take
New CEO (D. Besser) announced 4 Jun	Modestly positive (fresh vision)	Ongoing	Leadership change often sparks a 1–2 wk sentiment pop, but needs execution follow-through.
ENvue Medical acquisition closing 29 May	Positive (portfolio expansion)	Integration phase	Could unlock cross-selling news flow; too early for P/L impact.
False $26 M offering rumor (28 May)	Short-term negative	Resolved	Stock quickly bounced after denial; any renewed dilution chatter would cap rallies.
Next earnings (Q2)	Unknown	est. early Aug	Micro-cap results can be catalytic if revenue inflects > $1.5 M q/q.

4. Decision grid for a technical entry

Trigger	Confirmation needed	My probability	Actionable stance
Close ≥ $1.10 with ≥ 2 M vol	MACD bullish cross on daily	30 %	Valid breakout – short-term long toward $1.25/$1.45
Fail at $1.05 & close < $0.90	Volume ≥ 1 M on down day	25 %	Down-leg to retest $0.67 – stay defensive
Stagnates $0.90-$1.05	Light volume	45 %	Range trade; wait for signal

5. How I would monitor it (checklist)

1. Intraday VWAP vs. $1.00 round-number ― is price living above it?
2. Daily volume print at the close – needs to at least double the 1.16 M figure to flip sentiment.
3. MACD zero-line test – histogram turning green is the tell for sustained momentum.

---

Encouragement: You’re already zeroing in on the right metrics (RSI, insider power, short squeeze potential). With micro-caps like NAOV, price can move fast on modest news flow, so setting clear if-then rules (as above) helps you react rather than predict. Keep your stop discipline tight, and good luck hunting that reversal!