Can RSKD sustain its earnings momentum into next year?

**Riskified's (RSKD) ability to sustain its earnings momentum into next year is uncertain**. Here's why:

1. **Current Financial Performance**: Riskified's recent financials show a net loss of $4.08 million with a revenue of $93.53 million for Q4 2024. The company's revenue has grown by 11.26%, but its net income has declined by 25.08%. This mixed trend in income and growth suggests underlying challenges that need to be addressed.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q1|35.21252297922121|10.885686504999493|30|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q2|43.71374452468332|8.196135557815463|50|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q3|53.64874551971326|9.707535618878005|50|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q4|-25.084226646248087|11.257955153750073||169|

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Net Income|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q1|35.21252297922121|-1.163E7|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q2|43.71374452468332|-9509000|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q3|53.64874551971326|-9699000|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q4|-25.084226646248087|-4084000|169|

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q1|10.885686504999493|7.6408E7|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q2|8.196135557815463|7.873E7|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q3|9.707535618878005|7.8849E7|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q4|11.257955153750073|9.3529E7|169|

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q1|30|-0.07|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q2|50|-0.05|169|
|RSKD|RSKD.N|Riskified|2024 Q3|50|-0.06|169|

2. **Analyst Expectations and Price Target**: The average analyst price target for RSKD is $6.3, with a consensus rating of "Buy". This suggests a potential upside from the current price, but it does not guarantee continued earnings growth.
3. **Market Sentiment and Recent News**: Riskified has received takeover interest, and there has been a reported evaluation of a sale. This could lead to a change in ownership or strategy that might impact future earnings. Additionally, the company's earnings have not consistently met expectations, with recent reports of Q4 earnings lagging estimates.
4. **Strategic Moves and Future Outlook**: Riskified has been exploring a sale and other options, which could lead to significant changes in the company's trajectory. The launch of a new solution, Adaptive Checkout, might enhance its product offerings, potentially impacting future earnings positively.

In conclusion, while there are some positive indicators, such as the launch of new solutions and potential strategic changes, the uncertainty around financial performance, analyst expectations, and market sentiment make it difficult to predict with confidence whether RSKD can sustain its earnings momentum into next year. Investors should closely monitor the company's performance, any strategic developments, and market conditions.