Btg, cde whats predictions for day and tomorrow sell or hold to avoid more losses

Symbols

Btg, cde whats predictions for day and tomorrow sell or hold to avoid more losses?

4/17/2025 06:25pm

Aime

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking about predictions for BTG and CDE for the day and tomorrow, whether to sell or hold to avoid more losses. They're a tech-savvy investor with a medium to long-term horizon, interested in market trends and technical analysis. 

First, I need to look at the provided references. Both BTG and CDE have Trend Similarity-Based Price Forecasts. For BTG, the forecast prices from April 17 to May 16 show some volatility but a general upward trend, with a bullish forecast and an expected max gain of 26.54%. CDE's forecast is more stable, with slight fluctuations but a bullish trend as well, though the max gain is only 1.51%, which is lower.

The user's portfolio includes tech stocks, but they're asking about gold miners. I should connect the dots between market trends affecting gold prices. Reference 4 mentions that BTG rose due to higher gold prices, which might be a factor here. Also, the recent NCIB (Normal Course Issuer Bid) for BTG (Reference 5) indicates confidence in the stock's value, which could be positive.

Looking at the closing prices on April 17 (References 17 and 20), BTG closed at $3.34, down 0.45%, and CDE at $6.05, down 3.59%. The user wants to avoid more losses, so I need to assess if these dips are temporary or part of a larger trend.

Technical analysis from the forecasts shows BTG's price increasing from April 17 to May 16, with peaks around May 12-15. CDE's prices are more stable but show a slight dip around May 14-15. The user's interest in technical analysis suggests looking at support/resistance levels and volume trends. However, the provided data doesn't include these specifics, so I'll focus on the forecasted prices and trends.

Considering the user's interest in Fed interest rate adjustments (from their profile), higher rates could affect gold prices. If the Fed is expected to raise rates, gold might face pressure, impacting BTG and CDE. However, the forecasts here are bullish, so maybe the market expects gold to remain strong despite rate changes.

The user's portfolio includes momentum stocks, so they might be looking for stocks with upcoming catalysts. BTG's Goose Mine completion in June 2025 (Reference 4) could be a positive catalyst. CDE's acquisition of SilverCrest (Reference 8) might drive future growth, but the forecasted max gain is low, indicating limited upside.

In terms of action, for BTG, the forecast suggests a potential upward trend, so holding might be better. However, the recent dip on April 17 could be a buying opportunity. For CDE, the lower max gain and recent drop might suggest caution, but the bullish trend could mean a rebound. 

The user wants to avoid more losses, so considering stop-loss orders or waiting for confirmation of the trend reversal could be strategies. Also, the broader market context (like the tariff announcement affecting the market on April 11, Reference 4) might influence these stocks, as gold is a safe-haven asset during market turmoil.

In conclusion, based on the forecasts and company-specific news, BTG seems more promising with a higher expected gain, while CDE has limited upside. The user should hold BTG if they believe in the bullish trend and the Goose Mine's potential, but be cautious with CDE given its lower growth prospects. Monitoring the next few days' price action and volume could provide clearer signals.

Concluding Statement:
Based on Ainvest's proprietary data and market analysis, BTG (B2Gold) and CDE (Coeur Mining) exhibit distinct short-term price trajectories and risk profiles. Below is a detailed breakdown to inform your "sell/hold" decision for April 17–18, 2025, tailored to your medium-to-long-term, tech-driven investment approach.

1. BTG (B2Gold): Bullish Momentum with Near-Term Volatility

Price Forecast (April 17–18):
- April 17: $3.34 (closing) ¹
- April 18: Forecasted mean: $3.42 (up 2.4% from April 17) .
- Key Levels:
  - Resistance: $3.45 (April 22 forecast upper bound) .
  - Support: $3.26 (April 24 forecast lower bound) .

Catalysts/ Risks:
- Bullish Drivers:
  - Gold Price Strength: Gold hit an all-time high of $3,188.45/oz on April 11 ², driving gold miner valuations.
  - Goose Mine Progress: BTG expects to reach commercial production by Q3 2025, with 310,000 oz/year by 2031 ².
  - Share Buyback Program: BTG plans to repurchase 5% of its shares (65.98M shares) to capitalize on perceived undervaluation ³.
- Near-Term Risks:
  - Technical Pullback: The stock fell 0.45% on April 17 ⁴, potentially signaling a short-term consolidation after its 5.52% gain on April 11 ².
Action:
- Hold if you align with the bullish consensus (26.54% max gain potential) . Monitor the $3.26–$3.45 range for confirmation of the upward trend.
- Sell only if you prioritize avoiding short-term volatility; the stock’s technical setup favors a rebound toward $3.42–$3.45 by April 18.

2. CDE (Coeur Mining): Stable but Low-Momentum Play

Price Forecast (April 17–18):
- April 17: $6.05 (closing) ⁵
- April 18: Forecasted mean: $6.05 (flat vs. April 17) .
- Key Levels:
  - Resistance: $6.18 (April 29 forecast) .
  - Support: $5.59 (April 13 forecast lower bound) .

Catalysts/ Risks:
- Bullish Drivers:
  - SilverCrest Acquisition: CDE’s inclusion of SilverCrest’s Las Chispas mine (5.7M oz silver/59K oz gold in 2024) strengthens its 2025 production guidance (380K–440K oz gold) ⁶⁷.
  - Debt Reduction: The acquisition is expected to accelerate deleveraging, with a post-Q1 2025 run-rate of $350M free cash flow ⁷.
- Near-Term Risks:
  - Limited Upside: CDE’s max gain is only 1.51% , reflecting reduced growth catalysts compared to BTG.
  - Market Headwinds: The stock fell 3.59% on April 17 ⁸, aligning with broader market volatility (e.g., Nasdaq’s 4.31% drop on April 11) ².
Action:
- Hold if you seek stability in a volatile market. CDE’s lower risk profile (vs. BTG) makes it a safer bet for short-term holding.
- Sell if you prefer to capitalize on BTG’s higher momentum potential or await clearer signs of a rebound in CDE’s silver/gold mix.

3. Key Takeaways for Tech-Savvy Investors

BTG aligns with your focus on momentum and catalysts (Goose Mine, gold price trends). Its 26.54% max gain potential offers higher upside, but requires tolerance for near-term volatility.
CDE suits a risk-averse or diversification strategy, with its stable production profile and debt-reduction narrative.

Final Recommendation:

Hold BTG for exposure to gold’s structural bullish case and the Goose Mine’s growth potential.
Hold CDE if seeking stability, but prioritize BTG for higher momentum.

Monitor:

BTG’s Q1 2025 earnings release (May 7) ⁹ for confirmation of operational progress.
Gold/silver price action, which directly impacts both stocks.

Let me know if you need further customization!

Source:

1. B2Gold (BTG) stock closing price on 2025-04-17