Can BCO's Q1 earnings beat forecasts again in 2025?

**The likelihood of BCO's Q1 earnings beating forecasts in 2025 is low.** Here's why:

1. **Recent Performance**: BCO's most recent performance in Q4 2024 showed a net income of $40.8 million and total revenue of $1.26 billion. However, the company experienced a revenue surprise of -$40 million and an EPS surprise of -0.36, indicating a significant shortfall from expectations.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Net Income|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q1|1.2361E9|5.22E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q2|1.2531E9|4.98E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q3|1.2585E9|3.19E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q4|1.2642E9|4.08E7|169|

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Revenue Surprise|Net Income|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q1|2.6E7|5.22E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q2|-7000000|4.98E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q3|-1.1E7|3.19E7|169|
|BCO|BCO.N|The Brink's|2024 Q4|-4.0E7|4.08E7|169|

2. **Analyst Expectations**: Analysts are expecting a decline in both net income and revenue in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year. The expected EPS is $1.79, which represents a 35.1% year-over-year decline. The anticipated revenue is $1.24 billion, indicating a 0.4% decrease year-over-year.
3. **Challenges and Currency Impact**: BCO has faced challenges, such as currency fluctuations impacting regional revenue mixes, which have affected its financial performance. These factors could continue to influence Q1 2025 results negatively.
4. **Leadership Changes**: The company recently announced leadership changes, which could impact short-term performance as the new leadership settles in. This might affect the immediate term's earnings potential.
5. **Lack of Estimate Data**: There is no available data on the estimated EPS or revenue for BCO in Q1 2025, which makes it difficult to gauge analyst expectations or assess the company's internal forecasts.

In conclusion, given the recent underperformance, analyst expectations of decline, challenges from currency fluctuations, leadership changes, and the lack of estimate data for Q1 2025, it is challenging for BCO to beat earnings forecasts in the upcoming quarter.